Tag Archives: david Wright

July Team Stats

July, let’s be real, was miserable.  The Mets went 9 and 17 with a -11 run differential.  They only allowed 99 runs but could only muster 88 runs themselves.  The hitting disappeared.   The Mets hit .227/.293/.353 good for a whopping  .646 OPS.  Their OPS and a 284 wOBA both ranked last in the league.  Angel Pagan continued his stud play hitting  .337/.402/.594 with a .257 ISO and 7.7 SPD score.  They got little production out of second base as the trifecta of talent that is Luis Castillo, Alex Cora, and Ruben Tejada all struggled getting on base.   Luis Castillo’s .282 OBP was about 40 points higher than Tejada’s and 80 points higher than Cora’s.  There’s no excuse to be starting Cora, even if Castillo is struggling.  There’s barely an excuse to even have him on the team.  David Wright,  Jose Reyes, and Ike Davis all performed well in July, but the struggles continued for Jason Bay.  Carlos Beltran walked 14% of the time in July but struggled early with his triple slash.  He’s still struggling at the plate but has walked 17% of the time in his past 14 games.  Jeff Francoeur maintained his sneaky persona of generating outs more than practically all of baseball, all while capturing the adoration of anti-sabr Met fans.  Haters.

The Mets pitching had it’s bright spots in July, though Mike Pelfrey’s regression seemingly masked the other starters’ strides.   The Mets are a hittable staff without strong strike out numbers.  They’ve been able to limit home runs all year likely due to ground ball tendencies and Citi’s park factor.  Mike Pelfrey had a horrific July.  His k/9 continued it’s descent and for the month of July was a measly 4.35, but worse was his 5.66 bb/9.    Opposing hitters hit .419 off of him.   Jonathon Niese, Johan Santana, and R.A. Dickey turned in spectacular Julys.  Fun fact:  Jonathon Niese had a 98% strand rate in July.  The Mets had the sixth best FIP in all of baseball in July.  Imagine what it could have been if Pelfrey didn’t self  destruct.

.337 .402 .594

Mets Suffering From Dementor Effect

The current West Coast road trip started out rough for the Mets and just continues to look bleak and dreadful. Going into Friday’s game against the Dodgers, the Mets are 1-7 after the All-Star break and have scored just 15 runs over the course of those 8 games. They are the coldest team in baseball coming out for the second half with a team batting average of .188. They are listless, uninspired and have this look like they have just returned from the dead and walking the earth aimlessly.

OK, folks, so I have this crazy notion. The Mets’ zombie-like state has inspired this thought. For those that are not familiar with the Harry Potter books, there are these “creatures” that have appeared in several of the novels called “Dementors”. Wikipedia describes “Dementors” as the following:

The Dementors are soulless creatures considered to be among the foulest beings on Earth. They are soul-sucking fiends who, as their name suggests, dement people who encounter them for too long…They feed on the positive emotions, happiness and good memories of human beings, forcing them to relive their worst memories.

They sound just awful don’t they? I started to think that going into the All-Star break the Mets were showing some cracks, but I figured a nice three-day break would rejuvenate this group and allow them to continue this-better-than-expected season. But such was not the case. They have looked overmatched and outdone even by a team as awful as the Diamondbacks.

Just like a Dementor that sucks the soul out of people and wipes away all of the good feelings that were once there, the Mets seemingly have been sucked dry. I racked by brains trying to think what was different before the All-Star break and after the break that could have possibly sapped all of the energy and life out of this team that had been doing pretty darn well?. My conclusion: Carlos Beltran!!

Now, I’m not implying that Beltran is a Dementor (although there is no proof to say that he isn’t). But since his arrival back on the team, all of the high energy that the team exhibited seems to have shifted to a feeling of complacency. The type of baseball we are seeing of late is similar to the complacency that was central to the Mets’ collapses in ’07 and ’08. Hmmm…suspicious isn’t it? Remember how happy we all were half way through September of ’07? But then all of the good memories and happiness was sucked away as the team took a nose-dive. And aren’t we all reliving ’07 over and over again? Haunting our waking hours and our dreams?

To be fair, I don’t know Carlos Beltran. I’ve never met him. Never shared a beer with him. I’ve never given him one of my cherry Life Savers or even accidentally bumped shoulders with him on the #7 train which I’m sure he takes all the time. (Note sarcasm). But my sense of Beltran, and I’m not alone on this, is that he is a cool cat who seemingly plays the game with a lack of intensity. He seems passive and less passionate than, say, someone like David Wright who would run through walls for a foul ball. Perhaps, Beltran’s intensity is all internal. Perhaps inside he has the fire of Kirk Gibson and the passion of Rob Dibble. Perhaps he thinks about nothing other than to smash that baseball as far and as long as it’s humanly possible to hit it. And when he strikes out he goes into the locker room and chastises himself in a similar fashion to the albino villian from “The DaVinci Code“.

But you know what? I just don’t see it. I think he’s more cool jazz than rock and roll. He’s more lemon sorbet than double fudge peanut butter chocolate chip. And he seems more Dementor than Potter.

Carlos Beltran is unquestionable one of the best outfielder in baseball. He has power, he has speed. He hits well for average and plays a terrific centerfield. But his “even” personality appears to have changed the tempo of the upbeat energy that had infused the first half Mets.

Bottom line is that I hope I’m wrong because the Mets could sure use some of the energy we saw when Ike Davis first came up. But for now, I’m sticking with my “Beltran is like a Dementor” theory. Here’s hoping for a really good Patronus.


Grading the Mets First-Half Hitting

With the All-Star break upon us, I thought it might be a good idea to look back at the first half performances of the Mets and hand out some appropriate grades. Today, I’m concentrating on the hitting and will grade the pitching in another post. This grading system is entirely subjective and I’ve tried to offer a little bit of commentary as to my perspective. But by all means, you are more than welcome to “argue” whether you think I was too generous or too hard in the comment section below.

David Wright– Grade A-

The power outage from last year appears to be a thing of the past as Wright is on pace for 26 homers, 122 RBI and 28 stolen bases. He currently leads the N.L. in RBI and his .392 OBP is one of the best. The largest blemish on Wright’s season has been his accelerated strikeout pace which could see him net 180+ by season end. But the good news is that he has slowed down considerably with 62% of his K’s coming in the first 44 games and 38% coming in the remaining 43 games. Deserving of his All-Star start at third base.

Angel Pagan– Grade B+

Pagan’s 2010 campaign has been one of the nicest surprises of the season. It was frustrating to see him lose playing time to Gary Matthews Jr. at the start of the season but common sense and talent prevailed. Pagan’s .315 batting average and .372 OBP have prompted manager Jerry Manuel to start trying Pagan out in the leadoff spot. He’s been one of the most consistent contributors this season and is playing much “smarter” baseball than he did a year ago. It seems that his head and the natural talents are coming together. When Beltran returns, the Mets will need to find a place for Pagan in the outfield as his offensive output has been a catalyst all season long.

Ike Davis– Grade B

This may be considered a somewhat generous grade for a rookie batting just .258. But Davis’ overall stats plus 11 home runs rival the much ballyhooed Atlanta rookie Jason Heyward. Davis’ promotion to the big leagues on April 19th seemed to have ignited the team as a whole as the Mets won 10 of 11 games when he was first inserted into the lineup. Overall the Mets are 44-31 (.587 win pct) since he joined the team and Mike Jacobs was shown the door. Davis has also been a tremendous defensive asset and his play certainly grabbed the attention of the Seattle Mariners as they were impressed enough with Davis to make him the main piece in a potential Cliff Lee trade.

Jose Reyes– Grade B-

The good news for Reyes was that his absence at the start of the season was far shorter than originally projected. He started off the season sluggishly but by mid-May turned up the heat and hit .327 down the stretch to the AS break. However, his overall .317 OBP is very poor and that has certainly hampered his stolen base totals as he only has 19 on the season so far. Hopefully, the few days off will provide some relief from his current oblique injury. I guess we should be thankful it’s not the legs.

Jeff Francoeur– Grade C+

Talk about a streaky season. Francoeur came out of the gate on fire but half way through April chilled for about a month hitting just .137 from April 17 to May 23. Since then he’s picked it up again and is batting a solid .292 the rest of the way. But he’s lack of plate discipline is a concern with an OBP of .302 which is not helped by all the first pitch swinging. In my opinion, Francoeur should be the odd man out once Beltran return with some spot starts here and there and pinch hitting. With the Mets’ tendency for injuries, Francoeur is nice insurance to have just in case.

Jason Bay C

Jason Bay, the biggest off-season signing, has yet to show anything close to the form that he displayed in Boston last year and 2008 and his years in Pittsburgh. The .265 average is about 15 points below his career but it’s really the home runs and RBI production that has been most noticeably absent. Perhaps most telling is that Bay has already tied his career high for triples in a season which currently matches his home run total at 6. Is Bay “spooked” by the cavernous gaps and high walls of CitiField? Has he just not been able to make the proper adjustments to the Big Apple as far as attitude? So far, fans have been patient with him, but having played in a high-demand city like Boston, Bay should be able to handle play in New York. He’ll need to step it up the second half if the Mets are to stay in the heat of the race.

Luis Castillo– Grade C

Some may feel that this grade is too lenient for Castillo and that his grade should be lower. Yes, the guy is injured half the time, but Castillo is what Castillo is. He’s not a guy who is going to hit for power (3 extra base hits all year), but his average should be higher than the current .241. But he does make contact with the ball (just 10 strikeouts) and he does have the ability to steal a base or two. He’s a complimentary player and that’s about it. The fact that he was given the contract he was given, is another story. But Castillo is an adequate player as long as we don’t have raised expectations of what his talents truly are.

Rod Barajas– Grade C-

Well, you just knew that Rod Barajas’ torrid home run pace was too good to be true. After starting off the season slamming 11 home runs in the first two months, Barajas hasn’t been able to find the seats since. He’s batted .183 for June and July with just 2 RBI and has an overall slash line for the season of .238/.276/.432. Barajas has started to lose more and more time to Josh Thole and that could be the pattern going forward unless Barajas is able to find a way to contribute more offensively. His defensive talents just aren’t strong enough to compensate for no hitting. The grade is based primarily on the plethora of home runs at the start of the season. Kudos for that.

Alex Cora– Grade D

I know that Cora is a great clubhouse guy and a good teammate and has a good understanding of the game. But that means nothing when we are taking about the production on the field. To date Cora’s slash line is .222/.283/.299. He’s making Castillo look like Chase Utley which is hard to do. He’s been inconsequential thus far and depending on Castillo and Reyes’ health, he may be needed to fill a larger role in the second half. Let’s hope not, but if he comes to that, we will need to see more than what he has produced the first part of the season.

So what do you think? Do these grades match up with your perspective? Too high? Too low? Let’s here what you think.


Apr-Jun Team Stats

The Mets offense seemingly exploded in June as David Wright mashed to the tune of .404/.447/.683; .475 wOBA. Jose Reyes finally found his stride, hitting .314/.360/.533; .397 wOBA.  Overall, the hitters are still putting balls into play more frequently than most teams (8.1 bb%; 20.2k%).  Their .301 BABIP is right in line with the league mean, and their team triple slash on the season rests at .261/.325/.403.  Fans have yet to see a good month from Jason Bay, but he’s been excellent in his last 15 games or so.  Should Carlos Beltran come back, Jerry would be wise to maximize RF production by playing Francoeur against lefties and Pagan against righties when Beltran is in the lineup.

AVG BABIP OBP SLG ISO SPD wOBA
APR 0.242 0.280 0.329 0.384 0.142 6.4 0.319
MAY 0.264 0.305 0.324 0.401 0.138 5.7 0.323
JUN 0.274 0.308 0.324 0.424 0.150 5.3 0.329
JUL 0.264 0.359 0.327 0.389 0.125 6.7 0.315
TOT 0.261 0.313 0.326 0.400 0.139 6.0 0.322

The Mets pitching has been strong of late, but has benefited from a combination of luck, defense, and ballpark factor for most of the season.  They are 24th overall (12th in nl) in WHIP with a 1.43 mark, but 6th overall (5th in  nl) in ERA with a 3.83 mark.  Essentially, they are putting runners on base, often via walks, but they are stranding those runners 76.3% of the time, good for 2nd in the NL behind the Padres.  The Mets are middle of the pack in most batted ball against stats and have a .311 BABIP against with a 1.16 GB/FB%.  They’ve thrown the 3rd most pitches in the NL. Dickey, Pelfrey, and Niese all throw 50% ground balls, in part why they’ve been able to limit homeruns against this year.

ERA FIP xFIP BABIP LOB% WHIP HR/9
APR 2.97 3.77 4.51 0.296 80.4 1.39 0.51
MAY 4.85 4.81 4.57 0.323 72.8 1.56 1.27
JUN 3.54 3.77 4.21 0.302 76.6 1.29 0.73
JUL 3.60 3.22 3.81 0.376 75.2 1.54 0.51
TOT 3.74 3.89 4.28 0.324 76.3 1.45 0.76

Twins vs. Mets (6/25-6/27): Series Preview

The Mets will conclude their six game homestand this weekend, as well as interleague play, with a three game set against the Minnesota Twins. The Twinkies come into Citi Field at a good time for the Mets, as they have lost three in a row and six out of their last 10. However, thanks to the Mets taking two of three from Detroit, they still sit atop the AL Central by a half game.

The Twins, as always, are getting steady contributions from everyone. Offensively, they rank third in the AL in OBP, 5th in OPS and 4th in walks. Pitchingwise, the Twins rank third in ERA, WHIP, and OBPA. Twins pitchers are hittable, however, as opposing teams have a .266 batting average and 664 hits. The reason the staff has been so successful is that they don’t hurt themselves, having allowed only 155 walks, the least in Major League Baseball.

The series features some interesting pitching matchups, highlighted by Saturday’s game, when Johan Santana faces his old team for the first time since being traded to the Mets in 2008.

Both Mike Pelfrey and Santana need to get back on track. Santana’s recent struggles have been well-documented, so there’s no need to get into them. Pelfrey has struggled his last two outings, giving up 3 runs on 9 hits and only 1 strikeout against Baltimore and 5 runs on 7 hits and only 2 strikeouts against the Yankees. He did manage to go 6 and 7 innings in both starts, though. Jon Niese toes the rubber on Sunday also looking to get back on track, though his last start should be disregarded, considering he was pitching a no-hitter through three innings before the rain came and disrupted things.

This should be an exciting series with two good teams facing each other, Johan Santana facing his old mates for the first time, and getting to see two of the games best duos in Joe Mauer-Justin Morneau and David Wright-Jose Reyes.


Padres vs. Mets (6/8-6/10) – Series Preview

What a great upcoming series this will be. The best team in the National League is travelling into Citi Field to face the best team in baseball!…What?…What am I talking about, you say? Well, the Mets DO have the best home record in Major League Baseball. So if they didn’t have to endure that huge inconvenience of going on the road every other week, they would have the best record in baseball! And since they’re at home for this series, I say it’s fair to call them the best team in baseball until Friday, when they turn turn into one of the worst.

You’re also probably wondering how the San Diego Padres have the best record in the National League. I mean, this is an offense that has a .250 team batting average, have scored a mere 242 runs, and are second-to-last in the NL in home runs (42). Yet, even with their offensive struggles, the Friars sport a +54 run differential, the best in the National League.

The key has been their pitching. Coming into this series, the Padres lead MLB with a 3.02 team ERA, are second in MLB with a .231 BAA and are third in the NL with 447 strikeouts. The starting staff has two underrated, young arms which will be facing the Mets this series: Mat Latos and Clayton Richard.

Richard’s last start came last Wednesday against the Mets in San Diego. He pitched well, going 6 innings allowing 1 run on 4 hits with 5 strikeouts in a no-decision. In that start he went up against Johan Santana, who was brilliant. Tonight, he goes up against another Mets starter who has been brilliant all year in Mike Pelfrey. Most of the following stats for Met hitters against Richard are a result of last week:

METS HITTER

AB

BA

OBP

SLG

OPS

Alex Cora

6

.000

.143

.000

.143

Angel Pagan

6

.167

.167

.167

.333

David Wright

5

.200

.333

.200

.533

Jeff Francoeur

5

.400

.500

.400

.900

Rod Barajas

4

.250

.250

.500

.750

Fernando Tatis

3

.667

.667

1.000

1.667

Ike Davis

3

.000

.000

.000

.000

Henry Blanco

2

.000

.333

.000

.333

Jose Reyes

2

.000

.333

.000

.333

Jason Bay

2

1.000

1.000

1.000

2.000

Mat Latos takes the hill tomorrow night against Johan. Latos made one start against the Mets last season, where he went 6 innings and allowed 1 run on 4 hits with 7 strikeouts in a 3-1 victory. Since that was his only appearance against the Amazin’s, posting player stats would be pointless. As for Santana, he has not allowed a run in his last two outings, yet doesn’t have a win to show for either, as the Mets offense totaled only 1 run in those starts and the bullpen was unable to hold things together.

In the series finale on Thursday afternoon, a resurgent Jon Garland will take on RA Dickey. Garland was a name thrown around during the off-season for the Mets, and has shown so far that he would have been a nice addition to the starting staff. So far this season, Garland is 6-3 with a 2.68 ERA. However, a 4.17 FIP suggests that could change soon. Most of Garland’s success this season has come from the ground ball, as he has a 52% ground ball rate. As for the Mets, here’s how they’ve stacked up against Garland over the years:

METS HITTER

AB

BA

OBP

SLG

OPS

Rod Barajas

21

.333

.391

.762

1.153

Alex Cora

13

.231

.231

.385

.615

Henry Blanco

12

.167

.333

.250

.583

David Wright

10

.100

.100

.100

.200

Jeff Francoeur

10

.500

.583

.900

1.483

Fernando Tatis

4

.750

.833

1.000

1.833

Jose Reyes

3

.667

.667

1.333

2.000

Jason Bay

3

.333

.333

.333

.667

Angel Pagan

3

.000

.000

.000

.000

Weather stats (courtesy of weather.com): Tonight should be a nice night for baseball, with mostly sunny skies, tempratures in the low 70s and 11mph winds blowing from NW. If you have or were thinking about getting tickets for tomorrow’s game, however, hold up. The forecast calls for temperatures in the 60s and a 70% chance of rain. On Thursday, the forecast calls for a 30% chance of showers, with temperatures in the mid 70s and 12mph winds from NW.


Marlins vs. Mets (6-4-6/6): Series at a Glance

After what we’ll call an extended holiday break, I am back with the series preview! I know you’ve all been missing it so much. I mean, where else are you going to get such in depth analysis on upcoming Mets games? Anyway, the Mets continued to show us all that for as good as they are at home, they’re that bad on the road. The good news is they are back home for six games. The bad news is they open the weekend with a three game set against the Marlins, who are 6-1 against the Metropolitans this season, including that horrendous four game sweep in May.

The pitching matchups for this series are as follows: Anibal Sanchez vs. RA Dickey (Friday), Nate Robertson vs. Jonathon Niese (Saturday), Ricky Nolasco vs. Hisanori Takahashi.

RA has been more than serviceable in his short time with the Mets, but the question is will it continue? When comparing his career numbers with his numbers through three starts, most stats are very similar. The one that sticks out, however, if his FIP. RA has a career FIP of 5.15, but so far his FIP this season is 4.31. Tim Wakefield, probably the most notable current knuckleballer, sprots a career FIP of 4.72, so that shows that just how successful RA has been. Now, whether he can sustain that success or if his respectable FIP is just an example of small sample size will be found out through time, but the Mets have to be very happy with his contributions thus far.

Here’s a look at the Mets offense vs. Sanchez:

METS HITTER

AB

BA

OBP

SLG

OPS

Jeff Francoeur

21

.190

.190

.381

.571

Jose Reyes

17

.118

.250

.176

.426

David Wright

15

.200

.294

.200

.494

Luis Castillo

7

.143

.250

.143

.393

Angel Pagan

6

.333

.429

.500

.929

Fernando Tatis

4

.500

.600

.500

1.100

Jason Bay 

3

.333

.333

.333

.667

Ike Davis

3

.333

.333

.333

.667

Henry Blanco

2

.500

.500

2.000

2.500

Alex Cora

2

.500

.667

.500

1.167

Rod Barajas

2

.500

.667

1.000

1.667

Chris Carter

1

.000

.000

.000

.000

On Saturday, Jon Niese makes his return from the DL to face the team he suffered his hamstring injury against. Prior to getting hurt, Niese was struggling a bit, which is to be expected of any young pitcher. In his last full start against the Nationals, he only went 4.1 innings in which he threw 91 pitches and allowed 6 runs on 6 hits. Then in his next start, when he left in the third inning with the injury, he had thrown 46 pitches in 2+ innings, and allowed 5 runs (2 earned) on 8 hits. Hopefully the couple weeks he had to recover help him settle himself and go back to the way he pitched in April.

Meanwhile, the Mets will face off against Nate Robertson. Here’s a look at the team’s numbers against the journyman lefty:

METS HITTER

AB

BA

OBP

SLG

OPS

Luis Castillo

26

.308

.379

.308

.687

Gary Matthews Jr.

18

.278

.316

.389

.705

Rod Barajas

18

.333

.400

.389

.789

Jason Bay

7

.286

.286

.286

.571

Henry Blanco

5

.600

.714

1.200

1.914

David Wright

5

.400

.333

1.000

1.333

Angel Pagan

5

.400

.500

.400

.900

Fernando Tatis

4

.250

.333

.250

.583

Jeff Francoeur

4

.500

.500

.750

1.250

Jose Reyss

3

.333

.333

.333

.667

Ike Davis

3

.333

.333

.667

1.000

The series wraps up Sunday with Hisanori Takahashi looking to rebound from his last start against the Padres, where he allowed more than just his first run as a starter. Takahashi allowed 6 runs on 8 hits in 4 innings. Despite that outing, Takahashi’s numbers are still outstanding, which just goes to show how well he’s been pitching this season. His FIP is an exceptional 2.79 and his K/9 rate is 9.64, despite only striking out just one batter Monday night in San Diego.

Every Mets fan knows the Mets have had success against Nolasco, so these big numbers shouldn’t be any surprise:

METS HITTER

AB

BA

OBP

SLG

OPS

David Wright

41

.341

.386

.659

1.045

Jose Reyes

35

.400

.417

.743

1.160

Jeff Francoeur

26

.308

.321

.654

.975

Jason Bay

17

.235

.278

.294

.572

Luis Castillo

16

.375

.389

.375

.764

Fernando Tatis

9

.222

.222

.444

.667

Alex Cora

8

.500

.556

.875

1.431

Angel Pagan

8

.375

.500

.500

1.000

Rod Barajas

4

.250

.200

.250

.450

Henry Blanco

3

.000

.000

.000

.000

Chris Carter

3

.333

.333

.333

.667

Gary Matthews Jr.

2

.000

.333

.000

.333

Ike Davis

2

.000

.333

.000

.333

Expect the Marlins outfielders to be playing as if their jobs are on the line because…well…they are, as top prospect Mike Stanton is rumored to be getting called up from AAA next week.


Jerry Manuel and the Players-Communication Breaking Down?

medium_manuelThe winds of discontent are stirring and they are beginning to blow directly at the Mets. We’ve seen this pattern before, haven’t we? The numbers increasing in the loss column of the standings but not so much in the win column. Injuries, poor pitching, poor hitting and uninspired play that show every crack, wrinkle and blemish as if the team was standing under a fluorescent light. Yes, this is the 2010 New York Mets and sadly it’s looking much like the 2008 New York Mets that showed their manager the ‘Exit” sign in the early part of the season. As the sage-like Yogi Berra once said, “It’s like déjà vu all over again”.

I remember being at Angel Stadium in Anaheim on June 17th, 2008 for Jerry Manuel’s very first game as manager after the abrupt, clumsy dismissal of Willie Randolph. The Mets took it on the chin that night with a 6-1 loss as John Lackey completely stifled the Met offense. However, the game had started out with a dash of promise as Jose Reyes singled to lead off the game. When Reyes reached first base, Manuel saw something he didn’t like. It appeared that Reyes’ leg was bothering him and Manuel pulled him from the game. Reyes barked and argued with Manuel but eventually retreated to the dugout. Jerry Manuel was already ruffling feathers not one out into his tenure as the new Mets’ manager and the Reyes/Manuel incident was exacerbated by Manuel’s “gangsta” comments.

We’ve seen this pattern with Manuel. He seems deft at handling the media, but seems to alienate some of his players. Most notably was Ryan Church who seemed to be Manuel’s favorite pin cushion as he consistently challenged Church’s intensity to play even after returning to the field from a concussion. Manuel used the public media as his podium and seemed to circumvent communication with Church directly. Much of Church’s understanding about Manuel’s feeling came from the media, not from Manuel.

Just this past week, Manuel has flexed his managerial muscles by benching Jeff Francoeur in Atlanta, Francoeur’s hometown. He also gave David Wright an un-wanted day of rest and unceremoniously pulled John Maine after 5 pitches in Thursday’s game stating he wanted to “protect” Maine. Certainly, its Manuel’s prerogative to make decisions that he feels are best for the team. But what seems to be lacking is the communication between the manager and player. In Francoeur’s case, Francoeur could have been told about his benching beforehand to save the trip that friends and family had made out to the TED. In Maine’s case, Maine maintained that he couldn’t understand why he was being pulled from the game. Sure, there was something about Maine’s warm-up that Manuel and pitching coach Dan Warthen didn’t like. But it seems that many of these decisions are somehow not being conveyed appropriately to the players.

In truth, Manuel’s decision to pull Maine should be praised and he should be equally lauded for having reliever Raul Valdes ready in the bullpen. Whether Maine really doesn’t understand why he was pulled from the game is up for debate. Maine’s a huge competitor and obviously wants the ball so perhaps much of his anger is bunched up in denial. Maine doesn’t have to like Manuel’s decision, but he at least needs to respect it and it’s uncertain that that is happening. It’s that lack of respect that separates the manager from the player rather than connecting them. It’s unclear, but it seems that Jerry might be losing some of that respect.

Manuel obviously is trying to do what’s best for the team. That’s not in question. Some of his decisions are questionable as he seems to have a tendency to over-manage in games, and experiment with lineups and player roles (i.e. Reyes), but there is little doubt that all of these are in an effort to notch victories. His logic can be questioned but certainly not his intent. But in the process, he appears to be creating rifts between himself and the players through poor communication and not clearly identifying his plans. It leaves the players unsettled and unsure of what their roles are and whether the manager has a clear direction for the team–for that matter the organization as a whole. And that’s where trouble starts to brew.

Hmmm…sound familiar? My colleague Adam wrote an article discussing some of the merits of Willie Randolph’s tenure with the Mets. But he also mentioned how some of the players, like Carlos Delgado, disengaged from Randolph. Like Randolph, we are starting to hear players make comments about Manuel in a similar tone as the ones that were made about Randolph prior to his dismissal. Phrases like, “Well, it’s the manager’s decision. I just do what I’m told” or “I don’t know why I needed the day off” or “I’m sure the manager is trying to do what’s best for the team” are starting to leak out. These ambivalent words of “support” neither have the manager’s back nor are they completely damning. But anyone can read between the lines and get an idea from the tone that things are not gumdrops and lollipops in the Mets’ clubhouse.

June 16th is rapidly approaching. Will Manuel make it past that day or like Randolph will he be shown the “Exit” sign? These are pivotal days approaching, not just for the team but for Manuel’s future. A good showing against the Yankees and some wins will certainly buy Manuel more time. But it appears that it’s just a matter of time before a change in leadership occurs. The Mets’ seasons are beginning to look like scenes from “Groundhog Day” and unfortunately the Prophet Yogi Berra’s words seem truer than ever.


Yankees vs. Mets (5/21-5/23): Subway Series Preview

After the road trip from hell, the Mets come stumbling home and will open the first of a three game set with their crosstown rivals, and defending World Champions, the New York Yankees. Just what they need to get back on track! This homestand could very well determine the fate of Jerry Manuel and company, so some extra emphasis is added to this series, which will feature a couple of very interesting pitching matchups.

Tonight, Hisanori Takahashi will make his first Major League start against Javy Vazquez. Interleague play might be a huge break for Vazquez, whose 8.01 ERA and 6.48 FIP suggest that he can’t pitch in the American League. As for Takahashi, the 35 year old rookie has been one of the few bright spots for the Mets this year, posting a 2.69 FIP in 26 innings of relief. It will be interesting to see how long Manuel will stretch him out, as he has yet to throw more than 60 pitches. RA Dickey was apparently available in relief last night, so he should probably be available again tonight.

Here’s a look at how the Mets have stacked up against Vazquez. It’s worth noting Luis Castillo has a home run off him:

METS HITTER

AB

BA

OBP

SLG

OPS

Luis Castillo

72

.361

.418

.458

.876

Alex Cora

21

.381

.409

.429

.838

Henry Blanco

20

.200

.273

.400

.673

Rod Barajas

15

.133

.188

.133

.321

Jose Reyes

13

.231

.286

.385

.670

Jason Bay

12

.167

.231

.167

.397

Fernando Tatis

10

.300

.417

.500

.917

Gary Matthews Jr.

10

.600

.600

1.100

1.700

David Wright

8

.375

.444

.875

1.319

Jeff Francoeur

5

.400

.400

1.000

1.400

Angel Pagan

3

.333

.333

.667

1.000

Saturday night should be an exciting night for my good friend and colleague, Matt Falzano, as Mike “he’s better than Phil Hughes” Pelfrey will go head-to-head with…the one and only Phil Hughes! Hughes has been stellar for the Yankees this year, posting a 2.25 ERA, 3.12 FIP, and an 8.59 K/9 ratio in the daunting AL East. Mike Pelfrey’s numbers, though good, are not quite as impressive: 3.02 ERA, 3.67 FIP, and a 6.04 K/9 ratio. It should be an interesting duel between two up and coming New York stars.

There is not nearly enough of a sample size for any Mets hitters to post a chart. Jason Bay has the most at-bats against Hughes and is 1-for-6 with four strikeouts. Meanwhile, Mark Teixeira has a .308 average off Big Pelf in 13 at bats.

The best matchup of the series will come in the finale Sunday night, as CC Sabathia goes up against Johan Santana. The last time Santana pitched on Sunday night was a total nightmare, so hopefully there won’t be a repeat performance. Johan has only struggled with two Yankees in his career: Derek Jeter (.423, 1 HR, 5 RBIs, 26 AB) and Robinson Cano (.412, 1 RBI, 17 AB).

Heres a look at how the Mets have fared against Carsten Charles:

METS HITTER

AB

BA

OBP

SLG

OPS

Gary Matthews Jr.

26

.192

.300

.231

.531

Luis Castillo

19

.211

.211

.263

.474

Rod Barajas

19

.421

.450

1.000

1.450

Jason Bay

9

.111

.111

.111

.222

Henry Blanco

7

.286

.444

.286

.730

Jeff Francoeur

7

.286

.286

.286

.571

Fernando Tatis

4

.250

.500

.250

.750

Alex Cora

3

.000

.000

.000

.000

David Wright

3

.000

.000

.000

.000

Weather stats (courtesy of weather.com): Unlike the last homestand, the Mets will be playing in some much better conditions. Tonight calls for 75 degrees and clear skies, with 11mph winds from ESE and Saturday will be the 71 with 9mph winds from the same direction. Sunday could be a little bit of a damper, however, as the forecast calls for a chance of showers and temperatures in the low-mid 60s with 10mph winds from ENE. According to weather.com the most favorable conditions for the Mets are day games (which there will be none of this series) with temperatures between 46 and 60 (also not happening) and winds out to left field (nope). Excellent!


I'm so glad the Mets fired Willie Randolph. He was clearly the problem…

Every fan remembers waking up on Tuesday, June 17, 2008 and hearing the news that the Mets had fired Willie Randolph at 3:00A.M., after they had just beat the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim, improving their record to 33-34. The firing of Randolph, pitching coach Rick Peterson, and Tom Nieto (I mean, he was clearly a terrible first base coach, let’s be serious.) came on the heels of one of the worst collapses in professional sports history and a less than stellar start to the 2008 season. Jerry Manuel was hired as the new manager and management promised to do all they could to make sure the team would return to its winning ways.

Since that time, the Mets have gone through another September collapse, a nightmare season in 2009, and another unsatisfactory start this year. Jerry Manuel is now almost surely going to lose his job, and the Mets are in danger of becoming the club they were six years ago, right before Willie Randolph was hired.

After Randolph’s firing in ’08, mostly everybody agreed it was something that needed to be done. Writers were picking apart Willie, saying he couldn’t handle the pressure and didn’t possess what it took to be a championship manager. And the fans agreed. Why? Because…well…I don’t know…

If you look at Willie Randolph’s managing career for the final four months of his tenure (September 2007, April-June 2008) then, yes, his team was definitely not playing up to their expectations. But people seem to forget about the other two seasons and five months, a period of time where the Mets had won more games than any other NL team. So please, allow me to remind you.

Let’s start off with some basic stats. Willie Randolph’s career record as Mets manager was 302-253, good for a .544 winning percentage.  Only Davey Johnson (.588) has a higher winning percentage. Let me put that in perspective for you: Willie has a higher career winning percentage as Mets manager than Gil Hodges (.523) and Bobby Valentine (.534), a man who many Mets fans want to replace Manuel. He was a Carlos Beltran swing away from going to the World Series in 2006. 

These facts alone should prove that Willie was indeed a good manager, but I’m going to go even further.

Let’s flashback to 2005. The Mets had just finished the past season 71-91, they had traded their number one prospect for Victor Zambrano, and were totally irrelevant in the sports world. All of a sudden, Omar Minaya came in, overpaid to signed Pedro Martinez and Carlos Beltran, and was hailed as the Mets savior. But does anybody remember what the rest of that team looked like?

Well for starters, Doug Mientkiewicz was the starting first baseman, Miguel Cairo wound up playing 100 games and replacing Kaz Matsui as the starting second baseman, and Mike Piazza hit .251. Yikes! I didn’t even mention that the 3-4-5 starters were Kris Benson, Victor Zambrano, and the revolving door that was Kaz Ishii, Jae Seo, and Aaron Heilman, or that their closer was Braden Looper, or that Carlos Beltran finished with only 16 home runs and 78 RBI while hitting a pedestrian .266. Oh yeah, it was also only David Wright’s first full season in the league and Jose Reyes’s second.

Somehow, Willie Randolph managed that team to an 83-79 record and had them within a game of the Wild Card going into September. If you’re going to crucify him for 2007, then you also need to praise him for 2005.

Now let’s move onto 2006. It was one of the most successful seasons in Mets history: 97 wins, finishing 12 games ahead of the second place Phillies, and making it to Game 7 of the NLCS. Sure, the team was helped by the acquisitions of Carlos Delgado, Paul Lo Duca, and Billy Wagner. But allow me remind everybody of some of the starting pitchers the Mets featured in 2006 (number of starts in parentheses): rookie John Maine (16), Alay Soler (8), Oliver Perez (7) — who was 3-13 that season, Brian Bannister (6), Dave Williams (5), Victor Zambrano (5), rookie Mike Pelfrey (4), Jose Lima (4), and the late Geremi Gonzalez (4). Those guys pitched in a total of 58 games, yet somehow the Mets only lost 65 games all season! Can you see Jerry Manuel only losing 65 games with those guys making starts for him?

Then, of course, there was 2007. The season that, all of a sudden, Willie Randolph became a terrible manager. Nevermind the fact that he had to depend on the oh so durable Moises Alou to stay healthy and be a force in the lineup, or that Jose Reyes decided to turn into Rey Ordonez in Septmeber without warning anybody. Forget about the fact that Brian Lawrence and Philip Humber were starting games in the final two weeks of the season, or that the bullpen consisted of the following names: Jorge Sosa, Guillermo Mota, Aaron Sele, Willie Collazo, Carlos Muniz, Jon Adkins, and something called Lino Urdaneta. Yeah, right. Can we really put all the blame on the manager when all those things factored in as well? Should Willie have been held somewhat responsible for what happened in 2007? Absolutely.

But, what happened in 2008, when Willie wasn’t their manager? Oh, that’s right, the team did the EXACT SAME THING!

There were rumblings that Willie lost the clubhouse along the way. I can’t say if this was true or not, since I’ve never stepped foot into the Mets clubhouse at any point in my life, but I can have my doubts. Who did he lose? Carlos Delgado, who has always been known as a curmudgeon wherever he goes? Billy Wagner, who was disappointed with the team in general (I think we all remember his “why don’t you go talk to them over there? Oh that’s right, they left.”)? Ruffling those guys feathers should come as no surprise. But what about the rest of the team? Jose Reyes and David Wright both credited Willie for developing them into All-Stars and Carlos Beltran has never had a bad word about anyone.

Since the firing of Randolph, the Mets have not only gotten worse, they are right back to where they were in 2004. Was he the best manager of all time? No, but he wasn’t terrible. In fact, I would even say he was a very good manager. The one story I will always remember about Willie came during the end of the 2005 season. The Mets had just lost to the Cardinals and were officially eliminated from playoff contention. On the way out of the stadium, Willie was walking with David Wright and told him to remember the feeling and let it fuel him for the rest of his career. I don’t think either of them could have imagined the feeling everyone has now.


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