Tag Archives: Jason Michaels

Yup, The Mets Need a Bat

Sure, sending Tim Redding out there against the Yankees lineup was a little sadomasochistic. And the lineup has suffered more significant injuries than any team in recent memory. But this team looks like it could certainly use a bat.

Just a couple days ago, this team looked like it could survive with a bandaid like Scott Hairston or Jason Michaels. That was before two shellackings by the top lineup in baseball. That was before they scored one run in 22 straight innings of play. That was before Gary Sheffield got another cortisone shot in his knee, and before the team began to look like a AAA farm squad. That was before AJ Burnett made them look silly with 10 strikeouts in seven innings of one-hit ball.

It must be difficult to be Omar Minaya right now. He’s right about one thing – it’s hazardous to your continued employment as a general manager to act brashly or out of a need to comfort the masses. But on the other hand, the news is not very good right now. Consider:

Carlos Beltran is on crutches and will not be back in 15 days. Minaya said he’d gladly sign up to get his star outfielder back at the beginning of the second half, but that is beginning to sound hopeful.

Jose Reyes is still not running. He’s jogging and taking batting practice, but no explosions. He wants to be back right after the all-star game, too, but remember what happened last time he came back at 85 percent, ramped it up for a base hit, and ended right back on the DL.

Carlos Delgado has positive reports, but there’s no way they are going to let him play any quicker than the original 10-week deadline of July 28. They’ll wait until early August for this trade-deadline acquisition.

John Maine was scratched from his rehab start, got a cortisone shot, and is talking about coming back after the all-star break. That was after his ‘promising’ four-inning rehab start where he struck out one batter. Uh-oh.

Oliver Perez is going to stay in the minors ‘rehabbing’ his ‘injury’ because he’s been terrible. He had an unconscionable five walks in four and one-thirds of an inning in his first crack at AAA, and there’s talk he’ll be a reliever when he returns.

Angel Pagan is a week away from even beginning his rehab, and how much offense the speedster with a career .732 OPS was really going to help, especially since his .662 OPS against lefties is even worse.

So what should Minaya do? He didn’t want to spend Bobby Parnell on Mark DeRosa, so that name is off the list. Hairston and Michaels suddenly seem like too little in the face of the Met’s slugging percentage, which at .399 is the fifth-worst in the National League. And that woeful slugging number includes contributions from Mets currently sitting on the Pavano.

Aubrey Huff seems like a decent choice, as his defense in the outfield is just as bad as his infield defense. If only he wasn’t a lefty, he’d be the target. Also, Baltimore is known for asking a lot in exchange for its veterans. But at least we know he can hit.

The Mets are only 1.5 games out right now, and it looks like 88-90 wins will win the division, so it’s probably not time to panic. But every game that they run this offense out on the field is another game they’ll have to win in the second half. Some move to bolster the offense might be the pick-me-up this dragging team needs, if only because it will show that Minaya is working to try and replace the lost veterans as well.


Is Fernando Martinez a Center Fielder?

Last night, Fernando Martinez made his second debut with the Metropolitans, playing center field and batting seventh. If the 20-year-old can even hold his head above water defensively or offensively, the team could solve two problems with one player. They need a center fielder, at least against lefties, and they need some offensive punch.

The question is, of course, if Martinez can hold his head above water. So far his .185/.274/.262 line is underwhelming at best. Defensively, AAA Buffalo had also avoided playing Martinez in center field all year this year, choosing instead, for the most part, to play 29-year-old Colorado castoff Cory Sullivan there fulltime. Sullivan’s lackluster .274/.338/.348 line there this year, and his career .740 OPS against lefties in the minors, make him a poor choice for offensive igniter or lefty platoon caddy for Jeremy Reed.

So Omar Minaya called up Martinez. Here I must apologize for something I said in my last post. I pointed out that Martinez has a .903 OPS against lefties in the minors – that number is actually only for this year. Given that this nice OPS has been accrued in only 41 at-bats against southpaws so far this year, and that his career minor league OPS against lefties is .700 (vs. .815 against righties), it seems that Martinez is also not a great fit for the major league team.

And we haven’t even gotten into his defense. If his minor league team won’t play him in center field, you’ve got a major clue that he’s probably not ready to play cavernous Citi Field center field. In his first game back, he acquitted himself well for the most part, and made all the ‘easy’ catches. He did, however, let a ball fall that Carlos Beltran would have snared. It’s hard to fault a 20-year-old rookie for not being one of the best defensive center fielders in the majors right away, but there you have it.

If major league defensive stats are still in their infancy, then minor league ones are much worse off. We can see that Martinez had a range factor of 2.31 in center field in the minor leagues, and that Beltran, an elite defender, had a career range factor of 2.7 in center field in the major leagues. To give an idea of the scale, a ‘poor’ defensive center fielder like Shane Victorino has a career 2.2 range factor in center field.

So long story short, if Martinez can put something together at the plate, he can play center field for the Mets until Beltran comes back, and allow Minaya to look for some offense he can plug in at the corner outfield or corner infield positions. Victorino’s bat helps him play in center field, so the same is true for Martinez.

But if Minaya is to play it safe, Scott Hairston (career range factor of 2.0 in CF) and Jason Michaels (2.1 range factor in CF) are the low-cost options that will eliminate some of the defensive angst that might arise from playing Martinez in center field too often.


Examining Trade Options

Just yesterday we took a look at the lineup without Carlos Beltran in it, and boy, was it ugly. Now that he’s out for at least 15 days with a bone bruise, we’ll get a good long look at this lineup. Scroll down for some shivers down the spine. That lineup will depend on Daniel Murphy and Ryan Church to be heroes every night, and as we’ve seen, that can be a dicey proposition. David Wright can’t do all the work alone.

So what should the team be looking for? Let’s look at the flaws of the lineup below before identifying some possible additions.

SS Alex Cora
1B Daniel Murphy
3B David Wright
LF Ryan Church
RF Gary Sheffield
2B Luis Castillo
CF Jeremy Reed
C Omir Santos

Alex Cora‘s limitations are obvious, but the solution is also obvious because acquiring middle infielders is probably more costly than it’s worth. Even though Jose Reyes is still too hurt to run, he’s the best way to fix that spot. Cora is decent enough on defense and is capable of putting up an okay .340 OBP for a little while longer at least. We’ll put backup middle infielder on this list, though, since the Mets currently don’t have one.

Murphy, as reported in the last post, is great against lefties (.306/.341/.500 in 36 at-bats), and could probably use a caddy against tough righties, so let’s add that in: a guy that can play 1B and hits righties well. Unfortunately, in corner outfield, they’ve got a different problem. Ryan Church is playing well again, but he sports a .279/.354/.468 line against righties – and a .252/.323/.383 line against lefties. That last line comes in 342 at-bats, so it’s a significant problem. Church should probably be platooned against lefties, and that need trumps the backup 1B situation, especially since that need could continue once Carlos Delgado returns.

Then again, could the solution be on the team currently? Last year’s revelation, Fernando Tatis, has taken a heck of a step back this year, but his .256/.333/.380 line right now looks suspiciously like his career line (.264/.346/.442). He is marginally better against lefties (.270/.350/.450 lifetime in 793 at-bats), so the best outfield would have him in against lefties, over Church.

But here’s the rub: Jeremy Reed is actually okay against righties lifetime (.715 OPS), and with his capable defense, he could caddy for Beltran – against righties. But what to do against lefties? Tatis and Gary Sheffield can not – I repeat – cannot play center field. And recent callup Fernando Martinez hasn’t played center field in AAA all year (in fact, due to Martinez’s better split against lefties in the minors – .903 OPS vs lefties, .878 OPS vs righties – he’ll probably start in LF over Church against lefties and in RF when Sheffield needs a breather). Obviously, the team needs a center fielder against lefties.

So there you have it: the team most needs a capable outfielder that can hit lefties. Next on the list is a backup middle infielder. Those aren’t the sexiest needs. Probably, the the name coming our way won’t be too exciting. But here are some names of some players that might be available, might be able to play center field or the middle infield, and can hit lefties reasonably well:

Felipe Lopez – Josh Byrnes, the Diamondbacks’ GM, said this before the team lost three straight to the Mariners over the weekend: “It’s the middle of June and we’re 10 games under .500, so I think there’s a reality as far as the types of discussions we have had and will have with other clubs,” Byrnes said. Looks like the team will be a seller, and selling spare parts is the easiest way to pick up some spare prospects. Lopez can play the MI and has a batting average over .300 against lefties over the last two years.

Mark DeRosa – his team is in last place, and his name has been connected with the Mets for some time now. You may be surprised that he’s had close to 300 attempts at shortstop, too. Throw in his lifetime .864 OPS against lefties, and he seems perfect. Unfortunately, those tries at shortstop almost all came in 2001 with the Braves, and he’s not the defender he used to be, so he would be more of an emergency shortstop that can play the corner infield, second base, and the corner outfield. But not center or short. Oh, and he’d probably cost a better prospect.

Aubrey Huff / Nick Johnson – both of their teams would be ready to deal their extra veterans for the right price. But Huff can’t play a premium position on the field, and his .751 OPS against lefties means that he doesn’t add enough to pay a good prospect for his production. Johnson can hit lefties, but he famously cannot play anywhere in the field other than first base. What happens when/if Delgado returns? Expensive bench piece. I doubt either of these is going to happen.

Trevor Crowe – This is just conjecture, but this young Indian is on a seller and is running out of options. Of course, he doesn’t cost the Indians much, so he probably won’t move. But he can play center field, and his .811 minor league split against lefties is better than his split versus righties. This could be a move to complement Jeremy Reed in a smart way. Maybe he’ll be a throw-in if the Mets go for DeRosa.

Scott Hairston – Maybe young Tony Gwynn (currently batting .348/.439/.467) is turning enough heads in San Diego that they can let the older Hairston go (he’s 28 years old). Unfortunately, Hairston was peaking before getting injured, and his numbers are currently inflated. If Minaya can convince the Pads that the numbers are a mirage, he can maybe pry Hairston and his .896 OPS versus lefties loose. He would be a great fit on this team.

Jason Michaels – The list can’t get any less sexy, I assure you. Michaels can play center field, though, and has a .797 OPS versus lefties (.714 versus righties). He could be had for a song, too. And not even a good song.


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