Tag Archives: Jose Reyes

Black Cloud Follows Mets

Where does it end? How much more embarrassment can one organization endure? The Francisco Rodriguez “incident” is the latest cherry on the sundae that continues to define the Mets’ organization as perhaps the most mis-managed and misguided baseball franchise around. Certainly, the Mets did the appropriate action by reprimanding K-Rod and putting him on the disqualified list. But the Rodriguez mishap is just another reason that gives credence to the Mets nickname as the “New York Mess”

Just last year, former special assistant Tony Bernazard verbally threatened minor league players to a fist fight that gave some disturbing insight that the Mets’ minor league system was less than nurturing and encouraging but run more like scenes from “Gangs of New York”. Appropriately, the Mets showed Bernazard the door and apologized for his inappropriate behavior. Shortly, after that Omar Minaya decided to throw Mets beat writer Adam Rubin under the bus since it was Rubin that broke the story on Bernazard. Once again a black mark on the face of the franchise.

It would be nice to say that it all stopped there. But over the past seasons there has been an onslaught of player injuries and some that have been mismanaged (concussion for Ryan Church and Jose Reyes’ legs) so much so that the mantra for the team during spring training this season was about health and injury prevention. There was the Willie Randolph firing that was handled with as much tact and respect as a back alley mugging. And there have been countless rumors of ownership’s money woes with varying reports on the extent how much the organization really has to spend. Of course the “company line” from ownership is that everything is fine but one has to wonder with some of the cautious approaches they have taken in the free agent market when they were obvious, specific holes that needed to be filled that just weren’t fully addressed.

Let’s not forget some poor long term contracts (Oliver Perez, Luis Castillo) and the teams’ struggles of late to attract free agents. Joel Pineiro and Bengie Molina were targets for the Mets this past off-season but they accepted reasonable offers from other teams, complaining that the Mets left them hanging and that they didn’t get back to them in a timely manner. The Mets were successful in securing Jason Bay, but one had to wonder if Bay would have preferred to play for other teams than the Mets but the offers were simply not there for his services. He said all the right things in news conferences about how the Mets were on hit “short-list”, but his play this year has been anything but inspirational.

Then there is the nearly depleted farm system. And while it’s true that the farm system strives to replenish itself, currently the Mets minor leaguers are generally not considered among the top prospects in baseball. This raises some questions as to the talent evaluators and the scouts the team has employed and whether they are really doing the top notch job they should.

And finally, let’s not forget about the two collapses in the past years that have branded the team with the “chokers” title (yes, there’s that “C” word). A moniker they have yet to shake. True, many of the players are not around anymore from three seasons ago, but it’s still a stigma that has followed the team around and seems to be permeated in its pores.

So there seems to be this perpetual black cloud that follows the team around. As much as they try to shake this perception of a disorganized organization, the more things happen that seem to strengthen and reemphasize this belief. It would be easy for me to say that they need to fire the coaches, fire Jerry Manuel, fire Omar Minaya and start from scratch. But this would do little to alter this “New York Mess” perspective. Perhaps the team needs to take a closer look at franchises like the Los Angeles Angels and the Minnesota Twins who seem to garner respect throughout baseball. These are teams that ballplayers seem to genuinely enjoy playing for and a look at their organizational approach might be beneficial as they seem to generally have success year after year.

But for now, the Mets continue to make decisions with no seemingly big picture in mind. They are certainly the Rodney Dangerfield’s of baseball, but whereas Rodney lamented not getting any respect, I’m unsure, at this point, the Mets are deserving of any.


July Team Stats

July, let’s be real, was miserable.  The Mets went 9 and 17 with a -11 run differential.  They only allowed 99 runs but could only muster 88 runs themselves.  The hitting disappeared.   The Mets hit .227/.293/.353 good for a whopping  .646 OPS.  Their OPS and a 284 wOBA both ranked last in the league.  Angel Pagan continued his stud play hitting  .337/.402/.594 with a .257 ISO and 7.7 SPD score.  They got little production out of second base as the trifecta of talent that is Luis Castillo, Alex Cora, and Ruben Tejada all struggled getting on base.   Luis Castillo’s .282 OBP was about 40 points higher than Tejada’s and 80 points higher than Cora’s.  There’s no excuse to be starting Cora, even if Castillo is struggling.  There’s barely an excuse to even have him on the team.  David Wright,  Jose Reyes, and Ike Davis all performed well in July, but the struggles continued for Jason Bay.  Carlos Beltran walked 14% of the time in July but struggled early with his triple slash.  He’s still struggling at the plate but has walked 17% of the time in his past 14 games.  Jeff Francoeur maintained his sneaky persona of generating outs more than practically all of baseball, all while capturing the adoration of anti-sabr Met fans.  Haters.

The Mets pitching had it’s bright spots in July, though Mike Pelfrey’s regression seemingly masked the other starters’ strides.   The Mets are a hittable staff without strong strike out numbers.  They’ve been able to limit home runs all year likely due to ground ball tendencies and Citi’s park factor.  Mike Pelfrey had a horrific July.  His k/9 continued it’s descent and for the month of July was a measly 4.35, but worse was his 5.66 bb/9.    Opposing hitters hit .419 off of him.   Jonathon Niese, Johan Santana, and R.A. Dickey turned in spectacular Julys.  Fun fact:  Jonathon Niese had a 98% strand rate in July.  The Mets had the sixth best FIP in all of baseball in July.  Imagine what it could have been if Pelfrey didn’t self  destruct.

.337 .402 .594

Mets Take Passive Approach at Trade Deadline

omar-handsIt was an uneventful weekend for the Mets in many respects. They lost two of three games to the “lowly” Arizona Diamondbacks. A team, as my GBB partner Adam Rossi pointed out, had only won 13 road games all year prior to their visit to CitiField. The other non-event was the coming and going of the trade deadline with the Mets taking the position of neither buyer nor seller, but as a mere bystander.

They did manage to offload Mike Jacobs to the Blue Jays for the infamous “Player to be Named Later” As long as that unnamed player has all of their limbs, that will be one transaction that will be favorable for the Mets. And rumor has it that they did their best to convince other teams that Oliver Perez and Luis Castillo could compete with sliced bread as the next best thing, but alas, to no avail.

But did we really expect some thirteenth hour blockbuster trade to transpire? Realistically, that just wasn’t in the cards. The Mets have been playing such uneven baseball that it should be no surprise that their record is almost a perfectly even .500. The team is much further away from contending with the Braves or the Phillies than one big bat or one big pitcher. I actually applaud Mets’ management for not putting on the pretense of being a “buyer” this season. Whether money was a factor and the team was unable to increase payroll or the team recognized its shortcoming and didn’t want to depart with what few legitimate prospects they have, it was a prudent move.

They also chose not to play the part of the “seller”. It would have been a bold move to trade some of the key, cornerstone players that are fan favorites. For example, what if the Mets had opted to trade Jose Reyes? Sure, Met fans would miss chanting “Jose—Jose—Jose” at home games. They would miss his energy, solid defense and speed. But he is a consummate injury risk and he could have gotten a couple of good prospects in return. Could the Mets have pulled of a trade with, say, Tampa Bay? Trading Reyes for pitcher Wade Davis and minor leaguer Tim Beckham? Maybe, maybe not. Initially, a trade like that would have been an unpopular move for the fan faithful. But a trade like that that might have been a strong move to revamping the Mets with solid, young players of the future. After all, let’s face it, what’s in place right now, isn’t getting the job done.

But again, I don’t fault the Mets for not wanting to pull the trigger on a deal similar to that. That type of a deal would have been an outward confession to the Met fans that they don’t feel that they have the players to win and would have indicated that the team is in a rebuilding mode. Such a position is unpopular in a city that demands a winner and has high expectations to have a team with high profile players. That would have been a trade that could potentially alienate even the most loyal of fans.

But what I do fault the Mets for is being in a position that they can be neither “seller” nor “buyer” and the end result was decided to do absolutely nothing. Whether this unfortunate position is due to limited payroll and bad signings (pointing a finger at Perez and Castillo), an under developed farm system or concern about team image and perception, the Mets took the most passive and complacent approach. Could they have not come up with something to at least show the loyal fan base that they care? Some initiative to show some forward movement rather than a team that seems so frightened by its own shadow that it is paralyzed by indecisiveness?

So the end result is the Mets simply don’t know whether to buy or sell. They don’t know if they are coming or going. For every win, there is a loss and the bottom line is that they look like an organization that continues to chase its own tail. They seem forever to remain in limbo and Met faithful will continue to suffer in purgatory.

How frustrating it is to be a Met fan!


Grading the Mets First-Half Hitting

With the All-Star break upon us, I thought it might be a good idea to look back at the first half performances of the Mets and hand out some appropriate grades. Today, I’m concentrating on the hitting and will grade the pitching in another post. This grading system is entirely subjective and I’ve tried to offer a little bit of commentary as to my perspective. But by all means, you are more than welcome to “argue” whether you think I was too generous or too hard in the comment section below.

David Wright– Grade A-

The power outage from last year appears to be a thing of the past as Wright is on pace for 26 homers, 122 RBI and 28 stolen bases. He currently leads the N.L. in RBI and his .392 OBP is one of the best. The largest blemish on Wright’s season has been his accelerated strikeout pace which could see him net 180+ by season end. But the good news is that he has slowed down considerably with 62% of his K’s coming in the first 44 games and 38% coming in the remaining 43 games. Deserving of his All-Star start at third base.

Angel Pagan– Grade B+

Pagan’s 2010 campaign has been one of the nicest surprises of the season. It was frustrating to see him lose playing time to Gary Matthews Jr. at the start of the season but common sense and talent prevailed. Pagan’s .315 batting average and .372 OBP have prompted manager Jerry Manuel to start trying Pagan out in the leadoff spot. He’s been one of the most consistent contributors this season and is playing much “smarter” baseball than he did a year ago. It seems that his head and the natural talents are coming together. When Beltran returns, the Mets will need to find a place for Pagan in the outfield as his offensive output has been a catalyst all season long.

Ike Davis– Grade B

This may be considered a somewhat generous grade for a rookie batting just .258. But Davis’ overall stats plus 11 home runs rival the much ballyhooed Atlanta rookie Jason Heyward. Davis’ promotion to the big leagues on April 19th seemed to have ignited the team as a whole as the Mets won 10 of 11 games when he was first inserted into the lineup. Overall the Mets are 44-31 (.587 win pct) since he joined the team and Mike Jacobs was shown the door. Davis has also been a tremendous defensive asset and his play certainly grabbed the attention of the Seattle Mariners as they were impressed enough with Davis to make him the main piece in a potential Cliff Lee trade.

Jose Reyes– Grade B-

The good news for Reyes was that his absence at the start of the season was far shorter than originally projected. He started off the season sluggishly but by mid-May turned up the heat and hit .327 down the stretch to the AS break. However, his overall .317 OBP is very poor and that has certainly hampered his stolen base totals as he only has 19 on the season so far. Hopefully, the few days off will provide some relief from his current oblique injury. I guess we should be thankful it’s not the legs.

Jeff Francoeur– Grade C+

Talk about a streaky season. Francoeur came out of the gate on fire but half way through April chilled for about a month hitting just .137 from April 17 to May 23. Since then he’s picked it up again and is batting a solid .292 the rest of the way. But he’s lack of plate discipline is a concern with an OBP of .302 which is not helped by all the first pitch swinging. In my opinion, Francoeur should be the odd man out once Beltran return with some spot starts here and there and pinch hitting. With the Mets’ tendency for injuries, Francoeur is nice insurance to have just in case.

Jason Bay C

Jason Bay, the biggest off-season signing, has yet to show anything close to the form that he displayed in Boston last year and 2008 and his years in Pittsburgh. The .265 average is about 15 points below his career but it’s really the home runs and RBI production that has been most noticeably absent. Perhaps most telling is that Bay has already tied his career high for triples in a season which currently matches his home run total at 6. Is Bay “spooked” by the cavernous gaps and high walls of CitiField? Has he just not been able to make the proper adjustments to the Big Apple as far as attitude? So far, fans have been patient with him, but having played in a high-demand city like Boston, Bay should be able to handle play in New York. He’ll need to step it up the second half if the Mets are to stay in the heat of the race.

Luis Castillo– Grade C

Some may feel that this grade is too lenient for Castillo and that his grade should be lower. Yes, the guy is injured half the time, but Castillo is what Castillo is. He’s not a guy who is going to hit for power (3 extra base hits all year), but his average should be higher than the current .241. But he does make contact with the ball (just 10 strikeouts) and he does have the ability to steal a base or two. He’s a complimentary player and that’s about it. The fact that he was given the contract he was given, is another story. But Castillo is an adequate player as long as we don’t have raised expectations of what his talents truly are.

Rod Barajas– Grade C-

Well, you just knew that Rod Barajas’ torrid home run pace was too good to be true. After starting off the season slamming 11 home runs in the first two months, Barajas hasn’t been able to find the seats since. He’s batted .183 for June and July with just 2 RBI and has an overall slash line for the season of .238/.276/.432. Barajas has started to lose more and more time to Josh Thole and that could be the pattern going forward unless Barajas is able to find a way to contribute more offensively. His defensive talents just aren’t strong enough to compensate for no hitting. The grade is based primarily on the plethora of home runs at the start of the season. Kudos for that.

Alex Cora– Grade D

I know that Cora is a great clubhouse guy and a good teammate and has a good understanding of the game. But that means nothing when we are taking about the production on the field. To date Cora’s slash line is .222/.283/.299. He’s making Castillo look like Chase Utley which is hard to do. He’s been inconsequential thus far and depending on Castillo and Reyes’ health, he may be needed to fill a larger role in the second half. Let’s hope not, but if he comes to that, we will need to see more than what he has produced the first part of the season.

So what do you think? Do these grades match up with your perspective? Too high? Too low? Let’s here what you think.


Apr-Jun Team Stats

The Mets offense seemingly exploded in June as David Wright mashed to the tune of .404/.447/.683; .475 wOBA. Jose Reyes finally found his stride, hitting .314/.360/.533; .397 wOBA.  Overall, the hitters are still putting balls into play more frequently than most teams (8.1 bb%; 20.2k%).  Their .301 BABIP is right in line with the league mean, and their team triple slash on the season rests at .261/.325/.403.  Fans have yet to see a good month from Jason Bay, but he’s been excellent in his last 15 games or so.  Should Carlos Beltran come back, Jerry would be wise to maximize RF production by playing Francoeur against lefties and Pagan against righties when Beltran is in the lineup.

AVG BABIP OBP SLG ISO SPD wOBA
APR 0.242 0.280 0.329 0.384 0.142 6.4 0.319
MAY 0.264 0.305 0.324 0.401 0.138 5.7 0.323
JUN 0.274 0.308 0.324 0.424 0.150 5.3 0.329
JUL 0.264 0.359 0.327 0.389 0.125 6.7 0.315
TOT 0.261 0.313 0.326 0.400 0.139 6.0 0.322

The Mets pitching has been strong of late, but has benefited from a combination of luck, defense, and ballpark factor for most of the season.  They are 24th overall (12th in nl) in WHIP with a 1.43 mark, but 6th overall (5th in  nl) in ERA with a 3.83 mark.  Essentially, they are putting runners on base, often via walks, but they are stranding those runners 76.3% of the time, good for 2nd in the NL behind the Padres.  The Mets are middle of the pack in most batted ball against stats and have a .311 BABIP against with a 1.16 GB/FB%.  They’ve thrown the 3rd most pitches in the NL. Dickey, Pelfrey, and Niese all throw 50% ground balls, in part why they’ve been able to limit homeruns against this year.

ERA FIP xFIP BABIP LOB% WHIP HR/9
APR 2.97 3.77 4.51 0.296 80.4 1.39 0.51
MAY 4.85 4.81 4.57 0.323 72.8 1.56 1.27
JUN 3.54 3.77 4.21 0.302 76.6 1.29 0.73
JUL 3.60 3.22 3.81 0.376 75.2 1.54 0.51
TOT 3.74 3.89 4.28 0.324 76.3 1.45 0.76

Twins vs. Mets (6/25-6/27): Series Preview

The Mets will conclude their six game homestand this weekend, as well as interleague play, with a three game set against the Minnesota Twins. The Twinkies come into Citi Field at a good time for the Mets, as they have lost three in a row and six out of their last 10. However, thanks to the Mets taking two of three from Detroit, they still sit atop the AL Central by a half game.

The Twins, as always, are getting steady contributions from everyone. Offensively, they rank third in the AL in OBP, 5th in OPS and 4th in walks. Pitchingwise, the Twins rank third in ERA, WHIP, and OBPA. Twins pitchers are hittable, however, as opposing teams have a .266 batting average and 664 hits. The reason the staff has been so successful is that they don’t hurt themselves, having allowed only 155 walks, the least in Major League Baseball.

The series features some interesting pitching matchups, highlighted by Saturday’s game, when Johan Santana faces his old team for the first time since being traded to the Mets in 2008.

Both Mike Pelfrey and Santana need to get back on track. Santana’s recent struggles have been well-documented, so there’s no need to get into them. Pelfrey has struggled his last two outings, giving up 3 runs on 9 hits and only 1 strikeout against Baltimore and 5 runs on 7 hits and only 2 strikeouts against the Yankees. He did manage to go 6 and 7 innings in both starts, though. Jon Niese toes the rubber on Sunday also looking to get back on track, though his last start should be disregarded, considering he was pitching a no-hitter through three innings before the rain came and disrupted things.

This should be an exciting series with two good teams facing each other, Johan Santana facing his old mates for the first time, and getting to see two of the games best duos in Joe Mauer-Justin Morneau and David Wright-Jose Reyes.


Padres vs. Mets (6/8-6/10) – Series Preview

What a great upcoming series this will be. The best team in the National League is travelling into Citi Field to face the best team in baseball!…What?…What am I talking about, you say? Well, the Mets DO have the best home record in Major League Baseball. So if they didn’t have to endure that huge inconvenience of going on the road every other week, they would have the best record in baseball! And since they’re at home for this series, I say it’s fair to call them the best team in baseball until Friday, when they turn turn into one of the worst.

You’re also probably wondering how the San Diego Padres have the best record in the National League. I mean, this is an offense that has a .250 team batting average, have scored a mere 242 runs, and are second-to-last in the NL in home runs (42). Yet, even with their offensive struggles, the Friars sport a +54 run differential, the best in the National League.

The key has been their pitching. Coming into this series, the Padres lead MLB with a 3.02 team ERA, are second in MLB with a .231 BAA and are third in the NL with 447 strikeouts. The starting staff has two underrated, young arms which will be facing the Mets this series: Mat Latos and Clayton Richard.

Richard’s last start came last Wednesday against the Mets in San Diego. He pitched well, going 6 innings allowing 1 run on 4 hits with 5 strikeouts in a no-decision. In that start he went up against Johan Santana, who was brilliant. Tonight, he goes up against another Mets starter who has been brilliant all year in Mike Pelfrey. Most of the following stats for Met hitters against Richard are a result of last week:

METS HITTER

AB

BA

OBP

SLG

OPS

Alex Cora

6

.000

.143

.000

.143

Angel Pagan

6

.167

.167

.167

.333

David Wright

5

.200

.333

.200

.533

Jeff Francoeur

5

.400

.500

.400

.900

Rod Barajas

4

.250

.250

.500

.750

Fernando Tatis

3

.667

.667

1.000

1.667

Ike Davis

3

.000

.000

.000

.000

Henry Blanco

2

.000

.333

.000

.333

Jose Reyes

2

.000

.333

.000

.333

Jason Bay

2

1.000

1.000

1.000

2.000

Mat Latos takes the hill tomorrow night against Johan. Latos made one start against the Mets last season, where he went 6 innings and allowed 1 run on 4 hits with 7 strikeouts in a 3-1 victory. Since that was his only appearance against the Amazin’s, posting player stats would be pointless. As for Santana, he has not allowed a run in his last two outings, yet doesn’t have a win to show for either, as the Mets offense totaled only 1 run in those starts and the bullpen was unable to hold things together.

In the series finale on Thursday afternoon, a resurgent Jon Garland will take on RA Dickey. Garland was a name thrown around during the off-season for the Mets, and has shown so far that he would have been a nice addition to the starting staff. So far this season, Garland is 6-3 with a 2.68 ERA. However, a 4.17 FIP suggests that could change soon. Most of Garland’s success this season has come from the ground ball, as he has a 52% ground ball rate. As for the Mets, here’s how they’ve stacked up against Garland over the years:

METS HITTER

AB

BA

OBP

SLG

OPS

Rod Barajas

21

.333

.391

.762

1.153

Alex Cora

13

.231

.231

.385

.615

Henry Blanco

12

.167

.333

.250

.583

David Wright

10

.100

.100

.100

.200

Jeff Francoeur

10

.500

.583

.900

1.483

Fernando Tatis

4

.750

.833

1.000

1.833

Jose Reyes

3

.667

.667

1.333

2.000

Jason Bay

3

.333

.333

.333

.667

Angel Pagan

3

.000

.000

.000

.000

Weather stats (courtesy of weather.com): Tonight should be a nice night for baseball, with mostly sunny skies, tempratures in the low 70s and 11mph winds blowing from NW. If you have or were thinking about getting tickets for tomorrow’s game, however, hold up. The forecast calls for temperatures in the 60s and a 70% chance of rain. On Thursday, the forecast calls for a 30% chance of showers, with temperatures in the mid 70s and 12mph winds from NW.


Marlins vs. Mets (6-4-6/6): Series at a Glance

After what we’ll call an extended holiday break, I am back with the series preview! I know you’ve all been missing it so much. I mean, where else are you going to get such in depth analysis on upcoming Mets games? Anyway, the Mets continued to show us all that for as good as they are at home, they’re that bad on the road. The good news is they are back home for six games. The bad news is they open the weekend with a three game set against the Marlins, who are 6-1 against the Metropolitans this season, including that horrendous four game sweep in May.

The pitching matchups for this series are as follows: Anibal Sanchez vs. RA Dickey (Friday), Nate Robertson vs. Jonathon Niese (Saturday), Ricky Nolasco vs. Hisanori Takahashi.

RA has been more than serviceable in his short time with the Mets, but the question is will it continue? When comparing his career numbers with his numbers through three starts, most stats are very similar. The one that sticks out, however, if his FIP. RA has a career FIP of 5.15, but so far his FIP this season is 4.31. Tim Wakefield, probably the most notable current knuckleballer, sprots a career FIP of 4.72, so that shows that just how successful RA has been. Now, whether he can sustain that success or if his respectable FIP is just an example of small sample size will be found out through time, but the Mets have to be very happy with his contributions thus far.

Here’s a look at the Mets offense vs. Sanchez:

METS HITTER

AB

BA

OBP

SLG

OPS

Jeff Francoeur

21

.190

.190

.381

.571

Jose Reyes

17

.118

.250

.176

.426

David Wright

15

.200

.294

.200

.494

Luis Castillo

7

.143

.250

.143

.393

Angel Pagan

6

.333

.429

.500

.929

Fernando Tatis

4

.500

.600

.500

1.100

Jason Bay 

3

.333

.333

.333

.667

Ike Davis

3

.333

.333

.333

.667

Henry Blanco

2

.500

.500

2.000

2.500

Alex Cora

2

.500

.667

.500

1.167

Rod Barajas

2

.500

.667

1.000

1.667

Chris Carter

1

.000

.000

.000

.000

On Saturday, Jon Niese makes his return from the DL to face the team he suffered his hamstring injury against. Prior to getting hurt, Niese was struggling a bit, which is to be expected of any young pitcher. In his last full start against the Nationals, he only went 4.1 innings in which he threw 91 pitches and allowed 6 runs on 6 hits. Then in his next start, when he left in the third inning with the injury, he had thrown 46 pitches in 2+ innings, and allowed 5 runs (2 earned) on 8 hits. Hopefully the couple weeks he had to recover help him settle himself and go back to the way he pitched in April.

Meanwhile, the Mets will face off against Nate Robertson. Here’s a look at the team’s numbers against the journyman lefty:

METS HITTER

AB

BA

OBP

SLG

OPS

Luis Castillo

26

.308

.379

.308

.687

Gary Matthews Jr.

18

.278

.316

.389

.705

Rod Barajas

18

.333

.400

.389

.789

Jason Bay

7

.286

.286

.286

.571

Henry Blanco

5

.600

.714

1.200

1.914

David Wright

5

.400

.333

1.000

1.333

Angel Pagan

5

.400

.500

.400

.900

Fernando Tatis

4

.250

.333

.250

.583

Jeff Francoeur

4

.500

.500

.750

1.250

Jose Reyss

3

.333

.333

.333

.667

Ike Davis

3

.333

.333

.667

1.000

The series wraps up Sunday with Hisanori Takahashi looking to rebound from his last start against the Padres, where he allowed more than just his first run as a starter. Takahashi allowed 6 runs on 8 hits in 4 innings. Despite that outing, Takahashi’s numbers are still outstanding, which just goes to show how well he’s been pitching this season. His FIP is an exceptional 2.79 and his K/9 rate is 9.64, despite only striking out just one batter Monday night in San Diego.

Every Mets fan knows the Mets have had success against Nolasco, so these big numbers shouldn’t be any surprise:

METS HITTER

AB

BA

OBP

SLG

OPS

David Wright

41

.341

.386

.659

1.045

Jose Reyes

35

.400

.417

.743

1.160

Jeff Francoeur

26

.308

.321

.654

.975

Jason Bay

17

.235

.278

.294

.572

Luis Castillo

16

.375

.389

.375

.764

Fernando Tatis

9

.222

.222

.444

.667

Alex Cora

8

.500

.556

.875

1.431

Angel Pagan

8

.375

.500

.500

1.000

Rod Barajas

4

.250

.200

.250

.450

Henry Blanco

3

.000

.000

.000

.000

Chris Carter

3

.333

.333

.333

.667

Gary Matthews Jr.

2

.000

.333

.000

.333

Ike Davis

2

.000

.333

.000

.333

Expect the Marlins outfielders to be playing as if their jobs are on the line because…well…they are, as top prospect Mike Stanton is rumored to be getting called up from AAA next week.


April-May Team Stats

The Major League Baseball season is almost a third of the way through and prior to tonight’s game vs the Padres the Mets are sitting at .500 with a 26 and 26 record.  They went 14-9 in April, but just 12-17 in May, yet they are only 3.5 games behind the Phillies for first place.  They are 19-9 at home, but only 7-17 on the road.  They are 5-11 in one run games and 2-4 in extra innings.  They have outscored their opponents with 235 runs scored to 219 runs against.

The Mets have slipped a bit in walk percentage and strikeout percentage after being tied for third in the NL through one month of the season, leaving them in 8th with a .50 k/bb%.   They are tied for 12th in all three triple slash categories, hitting an umimpressive .254/.326/.394.  Their BABIP ranks 14th in the NL at .294 but that mark isn’t very far off the league mean.  They’ve fared a little better in terms of ranks in ISO with a .140 mark.  They do rank first with a 6.3 speed rating.  They’ve only hit 41 home runs this season, but have hit 16 triples which is good for third in the NL.  The extra base hits should continue to come, especially as Reyes and Pagan continue to heat up and Beltran due to return sometime this summer.  The Mets have the lowest gb% and fb% in the NL which leaves them with a 1.01 gb%/fb%.  They also have the second lowest ld% with a 16.9 mark.  Their 7.1 hr/fb% should trend up some, while their 12.1 iffb% should trend downwards a bit.

Since the beginning of May, the Mets’ k/9 has dropped a bit from 8.05 to 7.60 but they still are walking an NL high 4.42 batters per 9 innings.  They are middle of the pack in the NL with a .93 hr/9.  The pitchers have a combined .311 BABIP and a 76.2% strand rate.  Their FIP has regressed from 3.90 in the beginning of May to 4.32 with an xFIP of 4.52.  Injuries to John Maine and Jon Niese have derailed the Mets pitching some, so they’ll likely need Hisanori Takahashi to step up and prove he can put in quality outings like his first two if the Mets are to improve upon any of these marks.

Still early in the season, but the Mets fielders have played relatively well.  They are in 5th in the NL with a 3.7 UZR/150, and are in positive territory in all components of UZR (range runs, outfield arm runs, double play runs, and error runs combined).  Angel Pagan has been outstanding in CF with a 7.4 UZR, while Jose Reyes and Luis Castillo have both been in positive territory with a 1.1 and .9 UZR, respectively.  They are third in the NL in that ancient FP% stat, and have only made 27 errors, good for fourth in the NL.

The Mets are beginning to get better performances from their position players and it is without question June will be a pivotal month for this team to hopefully get a few or more games above .500.  Niese should be returning to the mound shortly, but their pitching will be far from safe even then.  Takahashi or R.A. Dickey could man the 5th spot, but it may be time for Omar to make a trade for a SP, with John Maine and Oliver Perez unable to be relied upon to give quality outings any time this season, or perhaps, ever again as members of the Mets.  Three roster changes to look for in June: Jenrry Mejia getting stretched out to start, Carlos Beltran’s return to the lineup and the inevitable (!?) Jeff Francoeur/Angel Pagan platoon, and Oliver Perez’s fate.


Jerry Manuel and the Players-Communication Breaking Down?

medium_manuelThe winds of discontent are stirring and they are beginning to blow directly at the Mets. We’ve seen this pattern before, haven’t we? The numbers increasing in the loss column of the standings but not so much in the win column. Injuries, poor pitching, poor hitting and uninspired play that show every crack, wrinkle and blemish as if the team was standing under a fluorescent light. Yes, this is the 2010 New York Mets and sadly it’s looking much like the 2008 New York Mets that showed their manager the ‘Exit” sign in the early part of the season. As the sage-like Yogi Berra once said, “It’s like déjà vu all over again”.

I remember being at Angel Stadium in Anaheim on June 17th, 2008 for Jerry Manuel’s very first game as manager after the abrupt, clumsy dismissal of Willie Randolph. The Mets took it on the chin that night with a 6-1 loss as John Lackey completely stifled the Met offense. However, the game had started out with a dash of promise as Jose Reyes singled to lead off the game. When Reyes reached first base, Manuel saw something he didn’t like. It appeared that Reyes’ leg was bothering him and Manuel pulled him from the game. Reyes barked and argued with Manuel but eventually retreated to the dugout. Jerry Manuel was already ruffling feathers not one out into his tenure as the new Mets’ manager and the Reyes/Manuel incident was exacerbated by Manuel’s “gangsta” comments.

We’ve seen this pattern with Manuel. He seems deft at handling the media, but seems to alienate some of his players. Most notably was Ryan Church who seemed to be Manuel’s favorite pin cushion as he consistently challenged Church’s intensity to play even after returning to the field from a concussion. Manuel used the public media as his podium and seemed to circumvent communication with Church directly. Much of Church’s understanding about Manuel’s feeling came from the media, not from Manuel.

Just this past week, Manuel has flexed his managerial muscles by benching Jeff Francoeur in Atlanta, Francoeur’s hometown. He also gave David Wright an un-wanted day of rest and unceremoniously pulled John Maine after 5 pitches in Thursday’s game stating he wanted to “protect” Maine. Certainly, its Manuel’s prerogative to make decisions that he feels are best for the team. But what seems to be lacking is the communication between the manager and player. In Francoeur’s case, Francoeur could have been told about his benching beforehand to save the trip that friends and family had made out to the TED. In Maine’s case, Maine maintained that he couldn’t understand why he was being pulled from the game. Sure, there was something about Maine’s warm-up that Manuel and pitching coach Dan Warthen didn’t like. But it seems that many of these decisions are somehow not being conveyed appropriately to the players.

In truth, Manuel’s decision to pull Maine should be praised and he should be equally lauded for having reliever Raul Valdes ready in the bullpen. Whether Maine really doesn’t understand why he was pulled from the game is up for debate. Maine’s a huge competitor and obviously wants the ball so perhaps much of his anger is bunched up in denial. Maine doesn’t have to like Manuel’s decision, but he at least needs to respect it and it’s uncertain that that is happening. It’s that lack of respect that separates the manager from the player rather than connecting them. It’s unclear, but it seems that Jerry might be losing some of that respect.

Manuel obviously is trying to do what’s best for the team. That’s not in question. Some of his decisions are questionable as he seems to have a tendency to over-manage in games, and experiment with lineups and player roles (i.e. Reyes), but there is little doubt that all of these are in an effort to notch victories. His logic can be questioned but certainly not his intent. But in the process, he appears to be creating rifts between himself and the players through poor communication and not clearly identifying his plans. It leaves the players unsettled and unsure of what their roles are and whether the manager has a clear direction for the team–for that matter the organization as a whole. And that’s where trouble starts to brew.

Hmmm…sound familiar? My colleague Adam wrote an article discussing some of the merits of Willie Randolph’s tenure with the Mets. But he also mentioned how some of the players, like Carlos Delgado, disengaged from Randolph. Like Randolph, we are starting to hear players make comments about Manuel in a similar tone as the ones that were made about Randolph prior to his dismissal. Phrases like, “Well, it’s the manager’s decision. I just do what I’m told” or “I don’t know why I needed the day off” or “I’m sure the manager is trying to do what’s best for the team” are starting to leak out. These ambivalent words of “support” neither have the manager’s back nor are they completely damning. But anyone can read between the lines and get an idea from the tone that things are not gumdrops and lollipops in the Mets’ clubhouse.

June 16th is rapidly approaching. Will Manuel make it past that day or like Randolph will he be shown the “Exit” sign? These are pivotal days approaching, not just for the team but for Manuel’s future. A good showing against the Yankees and some wins will certainly buy Manuel more time. But it appears that it’s just a matter of time before a change in leadership occurs. The Mets’ seasons are beginning to look like scenes from “Groundhog Day” and unfortunately the Prophet Yogi Berra’s words seem truer than ever.


Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.

Join 321 other followers