After the road trip from hell, the Mets come stumbling home and will open the first of a three game set with their crosstown rivals, and defending World Champions, the New York Yankees. Just what they need to get back on track! This homestand could very well determine the fate of Jerry Manuel and company, so some extra emphasis is added to this series, which will feature a couple of very interesting pitching matchups.
Tonight, Hisanori Takahashi will make his first Major League start against Javy Vazquez. Interleague play might be a huge break for Vazquez, whose 8.01 ERA and 6.48 FIP suggest that he can’t pitch in the American League. As for Takahashi, the 35 year old rookie has been one of the few bright spots for the Mets this year, posting a 2.69 FIP in 26 innings of relief. It will be interesting to see how long Manuel will stretch him out, as he has yet to throw more than 60 pitches. RA Dickey was apparently available in relief last night, so he should probably be available again tonight.
Here’s a look at how the Mets have stacked up against Vazquez. It’s worth noting Luis Castillo has a home run off him:
| METS HITTER | |||||
|
72 |
.361 |
.418 |
.458 |
.876 |
|
|
21 |
.381 |
.409 |
.429 |
.838 |
|
|
20 |
.200 |
.273 |
.400 |
.673 |
|
|
15 |
.133 |
.188 |
.133 |
.321 |
|
|
13 |
.231 |
.286 |
.385 |
.670 |
|
|
12 |
.167 |
.231 |
.167 |
.397 |
|
|
10 |
.300 |
.417 |
.500 |
.917 |
|
|
10 |
.600 |
.600 |
1.100 |
1.700 |
|
|
8 |
.375 |
.444 |
.875 |
1.319 |
|
|
5 |
.400 |
.400 |
1.000 |
1.400 |
|
|
3 |
.333 |
.333 |
.667 |
1.000 |
Saturday night should be an exciting night for my good friend and colleague, Matt Falzano, as Mike “he’s better than Phil Hughes” Pelfrey will go head-to-head with…the one and only Phil Hughes! Hughes has been stellar for the Yankees this year, posting a 2.25 ERA, 3.12 FIP, and an 8.59 K/9 ratio in the daunting AL East. Mike Pelfrey’s numbers, though good, are not quite as impressive: 3.02 ERA, 3.67 FIP, and a 6.04 K/9 ratio. It should be an interesting duel between two up and coming New York stars.
There is not nearly enough of a sample size for any Mets hitters to post a chart. Jason Bay has the most at-bats against Hughes and is 1-for-6 with four strikeouts. Meanwhile, Mark Teixeira has a .308 average off Big Pelf in 13 at bats.
The best matchup of the series will come in the finale Sunday night, as CC Sabathia goes up against Johan Santana. The last time Santana pitched on Sunday night was a total nightmare, so hopefully there won’t be a repeat performance. Johan has only struggled with two Yankees in his career: Derek Jeter (.423, 1 HR, 5 RBIs, 26 AB) and Robinson Cano (.412, 1 RBI, 17 AB).
Heres a look at how the Mets have fared against Carsten Charles:
| METS HITTER | |||||
|
26 |
.192 |
.300 |
.231 |
.531 |
|
|
19 |
.211 |
.211 |
.263 |
.474 |
|
|
19 |
.421 |
.450 |
1.000 |
1.450 |
|
|
9 |
.111 |
.111 |
.111 |
.222 |
|
|
7 |
.286 |
.444 |
.286 |
.730 |
|
|
7 |
.286 |
.286 |
.286 |
.571 |
|
|
4 |
.250 |
.500 |
.250 |
.750 |
|
|
3 |
.000 |
.000 |
.000 |
.000 |
|
|
3 |
.000 |
.000 |
.000 |
.000 |
Weather stats (courtesy of weather.com): Unlike the last homestand, the Mets will be playing in some much better conditions. Tonight calls for 75 degrees and clear skies, with 11mph winds from ESE and Saturday will be the 71 with 9mph winds from the same direction. Sunday could be a little bit of a damper, however, as the forecast calls for a chance of showers and temperatures in the low-mid 60s with 10mph winds from ENE. According to weather.com the most favorable conditions for the Mets are day games (which there will be none of this series) with temperatures between 46 and 60 (also not happening) and winds out to left field (nope). Excellent!