Tag Archives: R.A. Dickey

Marlins vs. Mets (6-4-6/6): Series at a Glance

After what we’ll call an extended holiday break, I am back with the series preview! I know you’ve all been missing it so much. I mean, where else are you going to get such in depth analysis on upcoming Mets games? Anyway, the Mets continued to show us all that for as good as they are at home, they’re that bad on the road. The good news is they are back home for six games. The bad news is they open the weekend with a three game set against the Marlins, who are 6-1 against the Metropolitans this season, including that horrendous four game sweep in May.

The pitching matchups for this series are as follows: Anibal Sanchez vs. RA Dickey (Friday), Nate Robertson vs. Jonathon Niese (Saturday), Ricky Nolasco vs. Hisanori Takahashi.

RA has been more than serviceable in his short time with the Mets, but the question is will it continue? When comparing his career numbers with his numbers through three starts, most stats are very similar. The one that sticks out, however, if his FIP. RA has a career FIP of 5.15, but so far his FIP this season is 4.31. Tim Wakefield, probably the most notable current knuckleballer, sprots a career FIP of 4.72, so that shows that just how successful RA has been. Now, whether he can sustain that success or if his respectable FIP is just an example of small sample size will be found out through time, but the Mets have to be very happy with his contributions thus far.

Here’s a look at the Mets offense vs. Sanchez:

METS HITTER

AB

BA

OBP

SLG

OPS

Jeff Francoeur

21

.190

.190

.381

.571

Jose Reyes

17

.118

.250

.176

.426

David Wright

15

.200

.294

.200

.494

Luis Castillo

7

.143

.250

.143

.393

Angel Pagan

6

.333

.429

.500

.929

Fernando Tatis

4

.500

.600

.500

1.100

Jason Bay 

3

.333

.333

.333

.667

Ike Davis

3

.333

.333

.333

.667

Henry Blanco

2

.500

.500

2.000

2.500

Alex Cora

2

.500

.667

.500

1.167

Rod Barajas

2

.500

.667

1.000

1.667

Chris Carter

1

.000

.000

.000

.000

On Saturday, Jon Niese makes his return from the DL to face the team he suffered his hamstring injury against. Prior to getting hurt, Niese was struggling a bit, which is to be expected of any young pitcher. In his last full start against the Nationals, he only went 4.1 innings in which he threw 91 pitches and allowed 6 runs on 6 hits. Then in his next start, when he left in the third inning with the injury, he had thrown 46 pitches in 2+ innings, and allowed 5 runs (2 earned) on 8 hits. Hopefully the couple weeks he had to recover help him settle himself and go back to the way he pitched in April.

Meanwhile, the Mets will face off against Nate Robertson. Here’s a look at the team’s numbers against the journyman lefty:

METS HITTER

AB

BA

OBP

SLG

OPS

Luis Castillo

26

.308

.379

.308

.687

Gary Matthews Jr.

18

.278

.316

.389

.705

Rod Barajas

18

.333

.400

.389

.789

Jason Bay

7

.286

.286

.286

.571

Henry Blanco

5

.600

.714

1.200

1.914

David Wright

5

.400

.333

1.000

1.333

Angel Pagan

5

.400

.500

.400

.900

Fernando Tatis

4

.250

.333

.250

.583

Jeff Francoeur

4

.500

.500

.750

1.250

Jose Reyss

3

.333

.333

.333

.667

Ike Davis

3

.333

.333

.667

1.000

The series wraps up Sunday with Hisanori Takahashi looking to rebound from his last start against the Padres, where he allowed more than just his first run as a starter. Takahashi allowed 6 runs on 8 hits in 4 innings. Despite that outing, Takahashi’s numbers are still outstanding, which just goes to show how well he’s been pitching this season. His FIP is an exceptional 2.79 and his K/9 rate is 9.64, despite only striking out just one batter Monday night in San Diego.

Every Mets fan knows the Mets have had success against Nolasco, so these big numbers shouldn’t be any surprise:

METS HITTER

AB

BA

OBP

SLG

OPS

David Wright

41

.341

.386

.659

1.045

Jose Reyes

35

.400

.417

.743

1.160

Jeff Francoeur

26

.308

.321

.654

.975

Jason Bay

17

.235

.278

.294

.572

Luis Castillo

16

.375

.389

.375

.764

Fernando Tatis

9

.222

.222

.444

.667

Alex Cora

8

.500

.556

.875

1.431

Angel Pagan

8

.375

.500

.500

1.000

Rod Barajas

4

.250

.200

.250

.450

Henry Blanco

3

.000

.000

.000

.000

Chris Carter

3

.333

.333

.333

.667

Gary Matthews Jr.

2

.000

.333

.000

.333

Ike Davis

2

.000

.333

.000

.333

Expect the Marlins outfielders to be playing as if their jobs are on the line because…well…they are, as top prospect Mike Stanton is rumored to be getting called up from AAA next week.


April-May Team Stats

The Major League Baseball season is almost a third of the way through and prior to tonight’s game vs the Padres the Mets are sitting at .500 with a 26 and 26 record.  They went 14-9 in April, but just 12-17 in May, yet they are only 3.5 games behind the Phillies for first place.  They are 19-9 at home, but only 7-17 on the road.  They are 5-11 in one run games and 2-4 in extra innings.  They have outscored their opponents with 235 runs scored to 219 runs against.

The Mets have slipped a bit in walk percentage and strikeout percentage after being tied for third in the NL through one month of the season, leaving them in 8th with a .50 k/bb%.   They are tied for 12th in all three triple slash categories, hitting an umimpressive .254/.326/.394.  Their BABIP ranks 14th in the NL at .294 but that mark isn’t very far off the league mean.  They’ve fared a little better in terms of ranks in ISO with a .140 mark.  They do rank first with a 6.3 speed rating.  They’ve only hit 41 home runs this season, but have hit 16 triples which is good for third in the NL.  The extra base hits should continue to come, especially as Reyes and Pagan continue to heat up and Beltran due to return sometime this summer.  The Mets have the lowest gb% and fb% in the NL which leaves them with a 1.01 gb%/fb%.  They also have the second lowest ld% with a 16.9 mark.  Their 7.1 hr/fb% should trend up some, while their 12.1 iffb% should trend downwards a bit.

Since the beginning of May, the Mets’ k/9 has dropped a bit from 8.05 to 7.60 but they still are walking an NL high 4.42 batters per 9 innings.  They are middle of the pack in the NL with a .93 hr/9.  The pitchers have a combined .311 BABIP and a 76.2% strand rate.  Their FIP has regressed from 3.90 in the beginning of May to 4.32 with an xFIP of 4.52.  Injuries to John Maine and Jon Niese have derailed the Mets pitching some, so they’ll likely need Hisanori Takahashi to step up and prove he can put in quality outings like his first two if the Mets are to improve upon any of these marks.

Still early in the season, but the Mets fielders have played relatively well.  They are in 5th in the NL with a 3.7 UZR/150, and are in positive territory in all components of UZR (range runs, outfield arm runs, double play runs, and error runs combined).  Angel Pagan has been outstanding in CF with a 7.4 UZR, while Jose Reyes and Luis Castillo have both been in positive territory with a 1.1 and .9 UZR, respectively.  They are third in the NL in that ancient FP% stat, and have only made 27 errors, good for fourth in the NL.

The Mets are beginning to get better performances from their position players and it is without question June will be a pivotal month for this team to hopefully get a few or more games above .500.  Niese should be returning to the mound shortly, but their pitching will be far from safe even then.  Takahashi or R.A. Dickey could man the 5th spot, but it may be time for Omar to make a trade for a SP, with John Maine and Oliver Perez unable to be relied upon to give quality outings any time this season, or perhaps, ever again as members of the Mets.  Three roster changes to look for in June: Jenrry Mejia getting stretched out to start, Carlos Beltran’s return to the lineup and the inevitable (!?) Jeff Francoeur/Angel Pagan platoon, and Oliver Perez’s fate.


Mets' Grab Bag of This 'N That

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Thought it might be fun to take a little bit of time and open up the Mets’ Grab Bag of This ‘N That and see what kind of stats and tidbits of information we can dig up about our beloved team.

  • The last time R.A. Dickey started a game was April 10th of last season. Dickey was pitching for the Twins against the White Sox. Dickey only lasted 5 innings, allowing 4 earned runs. He threw 104 pitches, but despite the poor outing, Dickey got the win. It was former Met prospect, Philip Humber who pitched the 9th inning securing the win for Dickey.
  • Since sliding back into the leadoff spot, Jose Reyes is batting .182. So much for familiarity. He continues to struggle. What’s plan C, Jerry?
  • For those of you who are starting up “David Wright Strikeout Pool’ to try to figure out how many punch outs he will have by year end, Wright is up to 55 in 41 games. This would project his year end total to be around 217. Last year, Wright didn’t record his 55th strikeout until June 9th. This makes Wright 3 weeks ahead of last year. By comparison in 2008, Wright didn’t record his 55th strikeout until June 28th.
  • Looking for a positive stat? The Mets are tied for the league lead in sacrifice flies with 18. Hey it’s something!
  • OK, how about this? The Mets lead the league in triples (not surprising really) but they are second in the N.L. with 37 stolen bases and lead the league in stolen base percentage at 82%. They’ve only been caught 8 times. Unfortunately David Wright comprises half of that caught stealing total.
  • From the pitcher’s perspective, the pitching staff have held base runners in check. Only 13 stolen bases have been allowed against Met pitchers. That’s good for 2nd best in the league behind St Louis.
  • On the darker side, the Mets are 27th in baseball with the poorest line drive percentage at 16.8%. They are also second in all of baseball in fly ball percentage at 40.9%. Not a great combination.
  • More bad news (jeez—there’s just so much of it), the Mets as a team are hitting just .208 with two outs and a pretty sad .235 with runners in scoring position. That’s good for last last place in the N.L. and 28th in all of baseball.
  • The plate discipline is also an issue for the team as the Mets tend to give opposing pitchers a big boost by extending their strike zone. They are second in the N.L. in swinging at pitches out of the strike zone at a rate of 29.9%. Not surprising they have trouble scoring runs when they make it so easy on the other team’s pitcher.
  • Prior to Wednesday night, the last time Oliver Perez made a relief appearance in a regular season game was back in 2002 when he was a member of the Padres. He pitched 1 inning against the Rockies and allowed 1 hit. But he also recorded 3 strikeouts in that one inning. Perhaps he has missed his calling as a reliever. Hmmm—maybe not.
  • The triple play the Mets turned on Wednesday was the 10th triple play in the team’s history. Check out this out to get the complete list.
  • Here’s a little good new/bad news. First the good news: Met relievers are second in the N.L. in ERA (2.79) and second in opponent batting average (.223). Now for the bad news: Met relievers lead the league in walks with 76 and LOB% at 85%. Pretty dangerous combination as that strand rate is going to be very difficult to sustain with all of those free passes.

Mets at Nationals (5/19-5/20): series at a glance

When I talked about the importance of the rest of this road trip for the Mets on Monday, I didn’t expect to scare Mr. Wilpon so much that he and the rest of the front office felt the need to fly down to Atlanta to “talk” about things. Regardless, it seems as though management’s sudden sense of urgency didn’t seem to rub off on the team. Though they split the two game series in Atlanta, neither game featured an energized ball club that was determined to turn things around.
So now it’s onto the nation’s capital, where the Mets will look to take a winning streak into this weekend’s Subway Series. This short two game series will feature possibly the two least exciting pitching matchups you will ever see, with RA Dickey facing the ageless Livan Hernandez and John Maine going against Luis Atilano.
The former Met, Hernandez, has seemingly dipped into the Fountain of Youth early in the season, posting a 4-2 record and a 1.46 ERA. You might remember, He began his season with 7 shutout innings en route to a 5-0 victory over Johan Santana on April 11. But look a little closer and you’ll see he will probably show himself as Fool’s Gold sometime soon. His FIP is 4.90, over three full points greater than his ERA, and he has a LOB% of 98.6%. That last stat should come as no surprise to Mets fans, who know Livan is prone to give up many hits.
As for RA (I’m sorry, but I feel awkward having to type “Dickey”), he makes his Mets debut after a 4-2 record with a 2.42 ERA in AAA-Buffalo. The highlight of his season, and maybe his professional career, came on April 29 of this year against the Durham Bulls, when RA gave up a lead-off hit then went on to retire the next 27 batters in a row. Obviously, Crash Davis was not in the lineup.
While the Nationals will try to figure out how to handle RA’s knuckleball, here is how the Mets have fared against Livan (Note: David Wright will most likely get the night off tonight which, despite his numbers against Hernandez, is much needed):

METS HITTER

AB

BA

OBP

SLG

OPS

Luis Castillo

58

.190

.217

.190

.406

Jose Reyes

47

.277

.306

.447

.753

Alex Cora

45

.244

.306

.289

.595

David Wright

36

.333

.400

.750

1.150

Henry Blanco

21

.381

.435

.524

.959

Fernando Tatis

20

.450

.500

.950

1.450

Jeff Francoeur

15

.400

.500

.867

1.367

Gary Matthews Jr.

13

.077

.077

.154

.231

Jason Bay

12

.250

.250

.333

.583

Rod Barajas

3

.000

.000

.000

.000

Tomorrow, the series wil conclude with a re-match from May 10 at Citi Field, when Luis Atilano bested John Maine in a 3-2 Nats victory. Atilano did not allow a run in 5.1 innings, while Maine allowed 2 runs in 6 innings. This will only be the rookie’s second appearance against the Mets, so posting stats would be a waste of everybody’s time.  As for Maine, he has handled the big bats of the Nationals pretty well. Ryan Zimmerman has a measley .189 average against him in 37 at-bats, though he does have two home runs. Adam Dunn has also struggled in 12 at-bats off Maine with a .167 average, and Josh Willingham is only hitting .154 in 13 at-bats. Each also have a home run off him, however.
Weather stats (courtesy of weather.com): Conditions will be mild tonight, with clear skies and temperatures in the mid-60s and 6mph winds from the west. Tomorrow will be much of the same,  with a daytime high of 79 degrees and winds blowing at 7mph from the north. The Mets have yet to win a game this season when it’s been greater than 70 degrees. The Nationals have won six.


SP Reinforcements

The FLA series couldn’t have gone much worse for the Mets, with Jonathon Niese capping it off by aggravating his right hamstring this afternoon.  With Oliver Perez completely ineffective and banished to the bullpen, even Jerry Manuel stated it was unlikely they’d put him back in the rotation if Niese misses multiple starts.  The Mets already need a starter for Wednesday’s game and assuming Niese cannot go on Friday, they’ll need one then too.

Hisinori Takahashi pitched 3 innings today and is no longer a candidate to start Wednesday’s game, though Raul Valdes may make a spot start out of the pen.  If Valdes does not get the nod, then a minor league reliever could be promoted.  Jenrry Mejia is apparently not an option to start.

There are a few starting pitching options in AAA, with Dillon Gee being the most exciting prospect there, though he is currently not on the 40-man roster.  He pitched 48.1 innings in Buffalo last year, and if you include the 41 innings he’s pitched this year there, his peripherals are pretty good.  In those 89 AAA innings, he has a 1.30 whip with a 2.68 SO/BB%.   He last pitched on May 12th and is a candidate to start on Wednesday if he is scratched from his start tomorrow.

Other non-40 man roster candidates include R.A. Dickey and Pat Misch.  Dickey last pitched on Friday and he is is performing the best with a 1.04 WHIP in 60.2 innings with 37 strikeouts and only 8 walks.  If added to the 40-man Dickey could feasibly start on Wednesday.  Misch pitched a 9 inning shutout on Saturday and is second on the team in innings pitched with 43.2.  He has a 1.21 whip with 25 strikeouts to 9 walks.  Misch would not pitch on short rest, but could get the nod for Friday if added to the 40-man and if the Mets change their plans with Takahashi.

Tobi Stoner, already on the 40 man roster and having been called up once already, is another option to start.  He has been pretty hittable this year though, yielding 43 hits in 36 innings pitched with 21 strikeouts to 13 walks.  He is scheduled to start on Tuesday for the Bisons.

None of these options are particularly reassuring and once again the Nelson Figueroa DFA should be called into question.  It may be wise to just let Oliver Perez make a spot start against the Nats and hope for the best.  Hopefully Niese won’t have to miss more than 1 start, otherwise the organization may have to go outside their system to resolve their rotation issues sooner than they’d like to.


Forget Who's on First. Who's Pitching and at the Plate?

Spring training has begun down at the Mets’ camp in Port St. Lucie and with it comes the hope of new beginnings. The atmosphere is loose and the breeze is gentle in the Florida sun. The tiki bar down the third base line at Tradition Field is an inviting place to watch the game while having a cold one. The people are friendly and even the picnic area beyond the right field fence has its share of spectators watching the game while lying lazily on the grass. It’s a wonderful time to follow the decisions and moves that will help to shape and define the season leading into April.

The funny thing about spring training games is that it’s a revolving door of player changes and a scorekeeper’s worst nightmare. It’s a good thing the games don’t really count. And some of you have probably taken a glance at the Mets’ box score the past couple of days to find out how your favorite players are doing. Some of you probably have wondered if you were even looking at the correct box score because of so many unfamiliar names of players that make their way into games during spring training. So I thought it might be a good time to go over some of the players that are in Port St. Lucie who may be off the radar. Sure we know all about Jason Bay, David Wright and Oliver Perez, but what about all of those rookies and non-roster invitees? So let’s spend some time to get acquainted with a few of the cast of characters that are competing for positions and hoping to earn a roster spot.

Jack Egbert – Pitcher – Throws: Right – Bats: Left — Age: 26

Jack Egbert came to the Mets via the White Sox when he was claimed off waivers last September. He was a former top prospect with Chicago and finally managed to make his major league debut last season, pitching a couple of games and ending up with a 27.00 ERA. Egbert has also struggled in his time at the AAA level but has done better in the lower divisions in the minors. He has a very good sinker that hits the radar gun in the high 80’s and has a decent change that will give hitters another pitch to think about. Perhaps the best attribute about Egbert is his ability to keep the ball on the ground.

Clint Everts – Pitcher – Throws: Right – Bats: Right — Age: 25

Clint Everts became a minor league free agent at the end of 2009 after spending 7 seasons in the National’s farm system. He was the #5 overall pick in the 2002 amateur draft by the Montreal Expos (remember them) and has yet to break into the majors. He put together a pretty nice 2009 which saw him bounce from A+.,AA, and AAA while compiling an overall 8-1 record, 1.65 ERA and 10.2 K/9. The word out is that after several years of struggling, Everts’ fast ball has picked up its velocity once again and has a curveball and outstanding change. If he impresses in spring training, he could be a sleeper to make the club.

Eddie Kunz – Pitcher – Throws: Right – Bats: Right — Age: 23

Eddie Kunz is a name that many people will recognize as the Mets #1 choice in the 2007 supplemental draft. The Mets knew that they were drafting a guy who was slated as a pure reliever and possible closer for the future. The big right hander has a mid 90’s fastball that has some nice sink to it that will induce a lot of swings and misses and groundballs. But he has a poor change and has not been able to establish any type of effectiveness against lefties. This is Kunz’s biggest issue with becoming a potential closer and seems more suited for a future set up role. The heat is on Kunz who is on the verge of slipping as one of the Mets more promising prospects and needs to step it up this year in Triple A. He isn’t off to a great start in his first appearance in spring training allowing 4 earned runs in a 0.1 innings.

Tobi Stoner – Pitcher – Throws: Right – Bats: Both — Age: 25

If you were paying close attention to the Mets towards the end of the season (and if you weren’t, you could hardly be blamed for checking out early), one of the Mets minor league call-ups was Tobi Stoner, a 16th round amateur draft choice in 2006. He appeared in 4 games in ’09 for the Mets, pitching 9 innings with no decisions and a 4.00 ERA. Stoner possesses 4 decent pitches with the velocity on his fastball topping out in the high 80’s. What Stoner really has going for him is excellent control and the ability to throw consistent strikes. While he isn’t at the top of the Mets’ prospect list, Stoner could be a useful add-on to the bullpen at some point in the season because managers love a guy who can come into a ball game and get the ball over the plate.

Jay Marshall – Pitcher – Throws: Left – Bats: Left — Age: 27

The Mets acquired Jay Marshall back in January as a waiver claim from the Oakland A’s. Marshall is a wiry left-handed submarine style pitcher who can be effective against left-handed hitter but doesn’t have amazing stuff. He does induce a large amount of ground balls which has keep his home runs way down and he has put together a tidy 2.85 ERA over the course of 6 seasons in the minors. Marshall will probably be getting some time on the mound this spring and is certainly a relief pitcher that is worthy of taking a closer look at it.

Shawn Bowman – Third base – Throws: Right – Bats: Right — Age: 25

Shawn Bowman came to the Mets organization via the 2002 amateur draft as the Mets 12th pick. Some of the shine has left Bowman the past few years and he has yet to establish a consistent offensive approach to the plate, lacking plate discipline but he does possess plus power. He’s had back injuries in the past that unfortunately has slowed his development but his defensive skills remain some of the best in the organization as he started out as a shortstop. Bowman’s biggest problem with trying to make the big club is that there is some guy named Wright that is blocking his way who I don’t think is going anywhere.

Jason Pridie — Centerfield – Throws: Right – Bats: Left — Age: 26

Jason Pridie was originally drafted by Tampa Bay as a 2nd round choice (43rd overall) in the 2002 amateur draft. He was acquired by the Twins in a rule 5 draft and then sent back to the Rays and back again to the Twins. The Mets acquired Pridie off of waivers last month and should get a good look in spring training. The book on Pridie has him regarded as a free swinger and has hit .276 in 8 seasons in the minors. The lack of discipline has prevented him from having a good OBP (.319) but he has been able to steal 153 during his minor league career. He has excellent defensive skills, a strong arm and good base running abilities which makes him a decent candidate for a 4th or 5th outfield spot. We’ll see what he is able to do in Port St. Lucie but he is a good back-up option to have on a squad.

Kirk Nieuwenhuis – Centerfield – Throws: Right – Bats: Left — Age: 22

Here’s a guy to keep an eye and track his progression. Kirk Nieuwenhuis (say that 10 times fast) is a fast riser in the Mets farm system having been drafted in the 3rd round (100th overall) of the 2008 amateur draft. He’s a fleet-footed centerfielder who covers a lot of ground with some good power and speed. Last year splitting his time between high A and AA ball, Nieuwenhuis was able to crack 17 homers and steal the same number of bases. One area needing improvement for Kirk is his ability to make contact. If he able to improve that he should be close to a .400 OBP guy (.364 OBP in ’09) as he has shown solid plate discipline.

Ike Davis – First Base – Throws: Left – Bats: Left — Age: 23

Highly doubtful that you haven’t heard about this guy, but if you haven’t you better get used to his name. Ike Davis is currently penciled in as the future first baseman of the Mets and from the reports has all the tools to be a big thumper with 35+ home run potential. He’s already made his presence know in spring training with a .750 batting average and a home run. The first round draft choice (18th overall) has a smooth swing and plays a solid first base defensively with a good arm. He has had some difficulty repeating his swing consistently which exposes holes in his hitting but some additional seasoning at AAA should help with that. He’ll probably be hanging around quite a bit for spring training and get exposure to big league hitting, but expect him to start the year in AAA, but could be a call-up in 2010 depending on how the season goes.

Obviously this is far from a complete list of players that are competing for spots, but just a sampling of some of the guys who’ll be getting into games. There are many other names that you’ll see in the box score, Hisanori Takahashi, Jesus Feliciano, Russ Adams and some older, but familiar names like Josh Fogg, R.A. Dickey and newly acquired Kiko Calero. We’ll see how the spring develops and revisit some of the players that we haven’t covered that are still competing for roster spots, but this will certainly get you started.


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