After what we’ll call an extended holiday break, I am back with the series preview! I know you’ve all been missing it so much. I mean, where else are you going to get such in depth analysis on upcoming Mets games? Anyway, the Mets continued to show us all that for as good as they are at home, they’re that bad on the road. The good news is they are back home for six games. The bad news is they open the weekend with a three game set against the Marlins, who are 6-1 against the Metropolitans this season, including that horrendous four game sweep in May.
The pitching matchups for this series are as follows: Anibal Sanchez vs. RA Dickey (Friday), Nate Robertson vs. Jonathon Niese (Saturday), Ricky Nolasco vs. Hisanori Takahashi.
RA has been more than serviceable in his short time with the Mets, but the question is will it continue? When comparing his career numbers with his numbers through three starts, most stats are very similar. The one that sticks out, however, if his FIP. RA has a career FIP of 5.15, but so far his FIP this season is 4.31. Tim Wakefield, probably the most notable current knuckleballer, sprots a career FIP of 4.72, so that shows that just how successful RA has been. Now, whether he can sustain that success or if his respectable FIP is just an example of small sample size will be found out through time, but the Mets have to be very happy with his contributions thus far.
Here’s a look at the Mets offense vs. Sanchez:
| METS HITTER | |||||
|
Jeff Francoeur |
21 |
.190 |
.190 |
.381 |
.571 |
|
Jose Reyes |
17 |
.118 |
.250 |
.176 |
.426 |
|
David Wright |
15 |
.200 |
.294 |
.200 |
.494 |
|
Luis Castillo |
7 |
.143 |
.250 |
.143 |
.393 |
|
Angel Pagan |
6 |
.333 |
.429 |
.500 |
.929 |
|
Fernando Tatis |
4 |
.500 |
.600 |
.500 |
1.100 |
|
Jason Bay |
3 |
.333 |
.333 |
.333 |
.667 |
|
Ike Davis |
3 |
.333 |
.333 |
.333 |
.667 |
|
Henry Blanco |
2 |
.500 |
.500 |
2.000 |
2.500 |
|
Alex Cora |
2 |
.500 |
.667 |
.500 |
1.167 |
|
Rod Barajas |
2 |
.500 |
.667 |
1.000 |
1.667 |
|
Chris Carter |
1 |
.000 |
.000 |
.000 |
.000 |
On Saturday, Jon Niese makes his return from the DL to face the team he suffered his hamstring injury against. Prior to getting hurt, Niese was struggling a bit, which is to be expected of any young pitcher. In his last full start against the Nationals, he only went 4.1 innings in which he threw 91 pitches and allowed 6 runs on 6 hits. Then in his next start, when he left in the third inning with the injury, he had thrown 46 pitches in 2+ innings, and allowed 5 runs (2 earned) on 8 hits. Hopefully the couple weeks he had to recover help him settle himself and go back to the way he pitched in April.
Meanwhile, the Mets will face off against Nate Robertson. Here’s a look at the team’s numbers against the journyman lefty:
| METS HITTER | |||||
|
Luis Castillo |
26 |
.308 |
.379 |
.308 |
.687 |
|
Gary Matthews Jr. |
18 |
.278 |
.316 |
.389 |
.705 |
|
Rod Barajas |
18 |
.333 |
.400 |
.389 |
.789 |
|
Jason Bay |
7 |
.286 |
.286 |
.286 |
.571 |
|
Henry Blanco |
5 |
.600 |
.714 |
1.200 |
1.914 |
|
David Wright |
5 |
.400 |
.333 |
1.000 |
1.333 |
|
Angel Pagan |
5 |
.400 |
.500 |
.400 |
.900 |
|
Fernando Tatis |
4 |
.250 |
.333 |
.250 |
.583 |
|
Jeff Francoeur |
4 |
.500 |
.500 |
.750 |
1.250 |
|
Jose Reyss |
3 |
.333 |
.333 |
.333 |
.667 |
|
Ike Davis |
3 |
.333 |
.333 |
.667 |
1.000 |
The series wraps up Sunday with Hisanori Takahashi looking to rebound from his last start against the Padres, where he allowed more than just his first run as a starter. Takahashi allowed 6 runs on 8 hits in 4 innings. Despite that outing, Takahashi’s numbers are still outstanding, which just goes to show how well he’s been pitching this season. His FIP is an exceptional 2.79 and his K/9 rate is 9.64, despite only striking out just one batter Monday night in San Diego.
Every Mets fan knows the Mets have had success against Nolasco, so these big numbers shouldn’t be any surprise:
| METS HITTER | |||||
|
David Wright |
41 |
.341 |
.386 |
.659 |
1.045 |
|
Jose Reyes |
35 |
.400 |
.417 |
.743 |
1.160 |
|
Jeff Francoeur |
26 |
.308 |
.321 |
.654 |
.975 |
|
Jason Bay |
17 |
.235 |
.278 |
.294 |
.572 |
|
Luis Castillo |
16 |
.375 |
.389 |
.375 |
.764 |
|
Fernando Tatis |
9 |
.222 |
.222 |
.444 |
.667 |
|
Alex Cora |
8 |
.500 |
.556 |
.875 |
1.431 |
|
Angel Pagan |
8 |
.375 |
.500 |
.500 |
1.000 |
|
Rod Barajas |
4 |
.250 |
.200 |
.250 |
.450 |
|
Henry Blanco |
3 |
.000 |
.000 |
.000 |
.000 |
|
Chris Carter |
3 |
.333 |
.333 |
.333 |
.667 |
|
Gary Matthews Jr. |
2 |
.000 |
.333 |
.000 |
.333 |
|
Ike Davis |
2 |
.000 |
.333 |
.000 |
.333 |
Expect the Marlins outfielders to be playing as if their jobs are on the line because…well…they are, as top prospect Mike Stanton is rumored to be getting called up from AAA next week.
